Zogby POLL: Obama 37.5, Edwards 33.7, Hillary 28.8 after second-choice allocations

[jefferson_dem]

Zogby Poll: Hillary's Gap Worsens After Second-Choice Allocations
By Eric Kleefeld - January 3, 2008, 10:53AM

Some further info from this morning's Zogby poll points to Hillary Clinton doing very poorly as the second choice of non-viable candidates' supporters, and Barack Obama and John Edwards both doing quite well.

We asked Zogby for how the final poll result would look after second choices are reallocated for voters who were in favor of candidates under 15% — the benchmark for viability in a Democratic caucus. Here's what they gave us: Obama 37.5%, Edwards 33.7%, Clinton 28.8%.

The pre-reallocation numbers were Obama 31%, Edwards 27%, Clinton 24%, showing that Hillary's deficit only worsened after second choices were taking into account. There is, however, a caveat: The other candidates' voters are naturally a much, much smaller sample set than before, meaning that second-choice calculations carry a very large margin of error.

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/zogby_poll_hillarys_gap_worsens_after_secondchoice_allocations.php

[cindyw]

1. Holding breath for finish!

:)

[AtomicKitten]

2. This is exactly as I imagined.

Gobama!

[Quixote1818]

3. Kick

[Sparkly]

4. I think the question is what the Biden and Richardson supporters might do.

Join together for one of them and try for 15%?

Or split up, and go to one of the top three? (Which looks like it'd benefit Edwards, but also Obama.)

Why are the Zogby and ARG polls so different?