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Can we flip Arizona? Poll finds Edwards, Obama beating Romney in AZ

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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-24-07 03:50 PM
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Can we flip Arizona? Poll finds Edwards, Obama beating Romney in AZ
McCain naturally wins since it his home state and he is popular there, Giuliani wins because it is a red state. What is intriguing is that Edwards and Obama beat Romney (HRC still loses to Romney, unlike the other two major Democratic candidates). That suggests we can flip Arizona, a red state but not an extremely red state, if we have a strong candidate and the Republicans nominate a weak candidate like Multiple Choice Mitt.

What do Arizona DU'ers think about our chances in Arizona?

==In Arizona, a new Grand Canyon State Poll finds Sen. John McCain and Rudy Giuliani beating any of the current Democrats running for president -- Sen. Hillary Clinton, Sen. Barack Obama, or John Edwards -- in general election match-ups.

However, while Mitt Romney edges Clinton, he loses close races to both Edwards or Obama.

Key finding: "Of the major Democratic Party candidates running for president, Senator Edwards has the strongest support among registered voters in Arizona. Senator Edwards would beat Republican Governor Mitt Romney 49 to 43 percent if the presidential election were held today. Edwards would receive 43 percent of the vote against Giuliani’s 51 percent of the vote. Edwards would take 39 percent of the vote against Senator McCain, who would receive 56 percent of the vote."==

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2007/04/24/arizonans_prefer_republicans.html
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-24-07 03:52 PM
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1. AZ is fairly evenly-divided. Our Governor is a Democrat.
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IA_Seth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-24-07 03:55 PM
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2. This poll seems to think that only HOE is running...
Hillary/Obama/Edwards looks to be the only candidates included in this poll. Another instance of the false assumption that one of the top three will be our pick.

I would wager that Richardson and Clark would both do very well in the West/Southwest, it would be interesting to see what their numbers would look like.

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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-24-07 03:59 PM
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4. I agree
Richardson for obvious reasons and Clark because he excelled in the Southwest during the 2004 primaries. It is a shame the media gave Clark zero attention during the primaries...we could have been talking about re-electing President Clark right now!
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jillan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-24-07 03:57 PM
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3. Hopefully whoever wins the Dem nomination will be smart
And spend some time in this state.

Yes, we are probably still a red state BUT alot of people that move to Az are from California, Illinois and the east coast.

There was alot of excitement in 2004, but Kerry wrote us off early.
And in 2006, we added a few seats to the House, and also to local Gov't.
We have a popular Dem Governor, so with a little attention from the nominee, Az could flip.

The thing about McCain is that he doesn't do a f-ing thing for this state. Nothing!
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