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National Journal roll-up on US Senate Races

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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 07:33 PM
Original message
National Journal roll-up on US Senate Races
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14721449/

Other parts of the article are worth a read in addition to the excerpts.

Excerpts:

Pennsylvania : The contest between Rick Santorum (R) and Bob Casey (D) -- which consistently clings to the top spot in Chuck Todd's race rankings -- just keeps heating up underneath the national spotlight. Gallup found Casey ahead of the vulnerable incumbent by double digits among both registered voters (14 percent) and likely voters (18 percent).*

Montana : Chuck Todd's No. 2 race was the closest of the five, with results well within the poll's margin of error. Forty-eight percent of likely voters said they would choose John Tester (D) over incumbent Sen. Conrad Burns (R). Registered voters put Burns ever so slightly ahead, 44 percent to Tester's 42 percent.

Ohio : The Buckeye State's race looks tight as well. Incumbent Sen. Mike DeWine (R) trailed his challenger, Sherrod Brown (D), by 6 points among likely voters but just 2 points among registered voters.

Missouri : This race is the only one Gallup tested that showed the Republican hopeful coming out significantly ahead -- at least among one group. Jim Talent led Democrat Claire McCaskill by 6 points among likely voters. Among registered voters, however, the opponents tied at 41 percent each.

Minnesota : A second competitive race shows a Democratic candidate, Amy Klobuchar, solidly ahead of the GOP candidate, although she doesn't enjoy a lead as big as Casey's. Half of Gallup's likely voters said they planned to vote for the Hennepin County attorney; 40 percent said they would vote for her opponent, Rep. Mark Kennedy (R). The split was 3 points narrower among registered voters.
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
1. I find the Montana race too close for comfort. I can't stand the idea
of Burns serving any part of another term.

I contributed a bit more today to Democrat Jon Tester:

http://www.testerforsenate.com
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nasher Donating Member (66 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 07:35 PM
Response to Original message
2. Ford has momentum in TN
I have seen a couple of polls that have had him ahead.
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 07:42 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Go, Harold Ford!
Thanks for the report.

Keep us all posted.
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COMINTChannelsOnly Donating Member (7 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. senate
I'm in DC and track this stuff w/o interference and noise from the talking heads and corporate pollsters. Count on an 8 seat pickup in the Senate by the Dems. Here they are:

Wins:

Casey PA
Webb VA
Whitehouse RI
McCaskill MO
Brown OH
Ford TN
Peterson AZ
Tester MT

That's 8 and no Dem losses.

also, Lieberman will tank soon and Lamont brings that seat back to solid "D" column.

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Stinky The Clown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 08:59 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. That's very optimistic. On what do you base these predictions?
The only one I see as too much of a long shot is Peterson.
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 09:13 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. How do you figure that we will gain so many seats?
I am only seeing 5 at this time.

I do agree that we will not have any losses, in either house.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 11:52 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Senate
I think you could be right.However I think Peterson only wins In a Democratic sweep.Webb,and Ford may be able to pull off wins and give us a Democratic Senate.A thing to consider there Is no guarante Lieberman would caucus with Democrats as a Independt.Lamont needs to hit him on all the republican endorsements and republicans funneling money to him.
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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 11:57 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. first Welcome to DU! but I have to agree with H2S, Peterson seems
a long shot
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swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-08-06 11:29 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kick because we need these Senate seats.
Do what you can to aid a Demo victory. I know you already do.
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