http://blog.aflcio.org/2006/08/04/global-business-leaders-now-worried-about-the-economy/Economy
Aug 4
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Global Business Leaders Now Worried About the Economy
The Middle East may be in crisis, people in this country may be burning to a crisp and President Bush may be on vacation, but yes, it could get worse.
At least that’s what global corporate leaders think, as they voice concerns about deteriorating business conditions for the first time in three years, citing turbulent markets and an expected slowdown in the United States, according to the London Financial Times. Today’s news that the U.S. unemployment rate worsened to 4.8 percent in July, a big jump from 4.6 percent in June, further provides fresh evidence that economic turbulence lies ahead.
Sandra Lawson, a senior global economist at Goldman Sachs, told the Times:
There has been a change in sentiment. Chief executives appear more concerned about economic uncertainty than any time in recent quarters.
According to the Times, the Goldman Sachs Confidence Index, which is based on chief executives’ assessments of business conditions and regarded as a leading indicator of corporate sentiment, has declined dramatically in the third quarter after buoyant readings in the past few quarters.
he deterioration was starkest in the United States, where the index has fallen to 39—its lowest level since 2002 and well below the four-year average. The decline in Europe has also been steep, plunging from 75 in the second quarter to just 43.
The index for the global business outlook has plunged from 71 in the second quarter to 42, well below 50—the dividing line between executives who think conditions are improving and those who believe they are worsening.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who recently took the job after many years at Goldman Sachs, also made noises this week about the U.S. economy not benefiting everyone, as the Bush administration would have us believe. But while Paulson is stating the obvious, his motives for speaking out also may have something to do with paving the way for Social Security privatization. Judging by many recent comments by Bush-backed lawmakers, Social Security privatization likely will be a top priority for Congress—unless working families get out the vote this fall.