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Shrub Job Approval...what's Gallup up to now?!

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Career Prole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-05 10:45 PM
Original message
Shrub Job Approval...what's Gallup up to now?!
The chimp's job approval in the latest Gallup/CNN poll stayed the same as their last poll (52% approve, 44% disapprove), but look at what's happened to the sample size!
Who'd they throw out?

Since the election, their sample size for every poll has ranged from 1,002 to 1,016.
This last one's sample? 909! 10% just went out the window.
:wtf:

http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-05 10:50 PM
Response to Original message
1. Sample size is irrelevant; sample make-up is what matters
Statistically, if you are over the magic number 30, you have a sample that roughly emulates actual conditions. However, the more you have in your sample, the better the match. The only thing that affects this is if you oversample Republicans, which might be what is happening.
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punpirate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-05 10:58 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I agree that sample distribution...
... is more likely to affect a poll, but sample size does matter--that's what determines the margin of error. Standard statistics indicates that the smaller the sample, the larger the MOE. If it weren't that way, pollsters definitely wouldn't spend the money to call 1000 people if they could get a similar MOE with thirty people.

Cheers.
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mcscajun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-05 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. Maybe more people are hanging up on them as soon as they hear
the word "Bush"?
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Career Prole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-05 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Or maybe Gallup hangs up when they hear the words
"fascist war-mongering lying sonuvabitch".
Hey...that would account for the missing 10% right there!
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-22-05 11:06 PM
Response to Original message
4. gallop always skews. they are fundies and worthless.
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