Watch for Gephardt's 10-11% to go to Kerry

[WilliamPitt]

If he doesn't get to 15%, he may throw his people to Kerry. That will be the ballgame.

645 of 1993 precincts reporting

[AP]

1. Once they report, it's over, no?

[WilliamPitt]

4. Yes, but I don't think they've reported yet. I may be wrong.

My boss threw this at me. Food for thought.

[fishguy]

2. I bet you are right, but I bet some support also goes to Edwards and Clark

Not to Dean.

[jenk]

3. most of it is going to edwards

[NewYorkerfromMass]

5. You're right Will. They are contemporaries as well as colleagues

Age/seniority plays a big factor in these things. People like Tom Harkin notwithstanding.

[SadEagle]

6. AFAIK, it's per-precinct.

So the 11% is from the caucuses where he got over 15%. Those where he did worse are likely what's helping Edwards' score a lot.

[elperromagico]

9. Yes, and that explains why Lieberman and Sharpton have 0% each.

Gephardt's 10% is Gephardt's 10%, I believe. The precincts which have already reported are finished voting. I could be wrong...

[fishnfla]

10. Thats the ticket

Its done on the local level.

[HazMat]

7. I think so.

Gephardt's supporters are more likely to go to Kerry than anyone else ( both experienced, old school Democrats, strong on defense, appeal to blue collar men).

[sistersofmercy]

8. Absolutely right on imo.

Also, when and if (so I don't offned anyone) Gephardt drops out of the candidacy his supporters will go to Kerry.

[LiviaOlivia]

11. I say Edwards

Sen. Kerry's Free Trade stance is a problem with unions.