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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 06:53 PM
Original message
Latest Electoral Vote.com Predictions
Edited on Mon Oct-18-04 06:56 PM by Nicholas_J
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 257 Bush 247


http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Though Rasmussen has Bush ahrad of Kerry, In the last week Kerry has regained 25 EV in Rasmussens Polls while Bush has lost 27 EV.

Regarding Nader, over the last few weeks, Nader gaines have been at the expense of Bush, not Kerry
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bryant69 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 06:57 PM
Response to Original message
1. How do you know that bit about Nader?
Or where is your evidence.

Bryant
Check it out --> http://politicalcomment.blogspot.com
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. CNN
Reported it tonight.
In most of the two way polls they get a set of figures for Kerry and Bush, but when they add in Nader, in most polls, it is Bush who's percentages drop wither moer thhan Kerrys or Kerrys do not drop at all. Only in a few Republican skewed polls is Nader found to effect Kerry numbers
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wildeyed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 06:58 PM
Response to Original message
2. I actually know an ex-Bush voter who will be voting for Nader.
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I know a Naderite who is voting Bush...so who knows?
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johnnyrocket Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
4. If people are voting for Nader INSTEAD of Bush...
these are a scary bunch of ill informed idiots who even CONSIDERED Bush. I can't imagine a canyon more vast than the one between Bush and Nader.
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wildeyed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I think it is a protest vote.
She knows Nader can't win. Plus, she is an idiot.
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JohnnyCougar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. but remember...
What person that ever considered Bush WASN'T a scary, ill-informed idiot?

That would be great, though. If Nader started taking Bush votes as a protest vote! Use that vile Rethuglican venom against them!
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Some of Them Are Confused. Repubs Tell Them to Get Sigs For Nader...
...and some of them think that means it's OK to vote for him. :-)
Rovian strategies are a bit to complicated for these simple minds.

It would be sweet to see the Nader spoiler strategy backfire on the Bushbots.
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Deja Q Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:15 PM
Response to Original message
6. 257/247 in favor of Kerry? But won't he still lose?
Doesn't that mean that * would still win because neither has 270 and * is sitting pres? Not to mention the house and senate, who'll vote * in anyway.
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RichardRay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 07:26 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. FLA and IA still tied in that count
so there are at least 34 EV's still out there - enoungh to put either of them over the top. The count also includes the 'Barely Bush' and 'Barely Kerry' states where the poll is inside the MOE in most cases.

Richard Ray - Jackson Hole, WY
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
10. OHIOOHIOOHIO
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Senator Lamb Donating Member (492 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-18-04 08:13 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. almost right
we are going to win New Mexico. hes wrong.
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