WP Tracking Poll 10/15 - Still tied at 48%

[rjbny62]

[Doosh]

1. good news, though I'd like to see some polls with us AHEAD!

[pmbryant]

2. Here's one. Kerry up by 5.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x907313

[Doosh]

3. good, but....

Scripps, I've never heard of it.

I hope Kerry starts to pull away and soon, because I'm getting worried. Granted Bush is only up by a hair (1-2pts) or tied in all the major polls.

[Randi_Listener]

4. I've heard of it.

It's valid so don't worry about it.

[tritsofme]

8. Did they poll in 2000?

I can't find much info on them.

[Randi_Listener]

15. Every election cycle

It's always there.

[pmbryant]

9. Not having a major media contract is probably a reason to prefer that poll

Certainly most of the major media polls were off by 4-5 points last time around. So having a recognizable name does not make a poll accurate.

Only Zogby was close, and he only was close due to a big surge for Gore he measured in the last couple days. Before that, he was showing Bush with a 3-5 point lead, just like WP and Gallup were.

Of course, I have no clue what Scripps' track record is, but I have no reason to believe they are any less accurate than any other widely respected polling organization.

--Peter

[batchdem04]

10. Check this...

But the survey also suggests that Kerry continues to claim a large lead in key battleground states. In these 13 states, Kerry held a 53 percent to 43 percent advantage among likely voters.

[flpoljunkie]

13. Yes! Kerry leads 53%-43% in battlegrounds! Fantastic news!

[vickie]

5. Te most important thing about the article is that it shows Kerry

up by 9% in Battleground states! Yippee!!!

[Doosh]

6. what we might be heading for

Is a big popular vote loss, and a big electoral win.

[DaveinMD]

11. that isn't possible

what's more likely is a larger EV win than popular vote win.

[DaveinMD]

7. if we are tied

in the polls on ED, I would expect to win the popular vote by 2-3 points.

[Shopaholic]

12. And the elephant in the room that no one mentioned. . .

The poll also shows why the Repugs aren't letting go the Mary Cheney thing:

"An overwhelming majority of voters believe it was wrong for Democratic nominee John F. Kerry to have mentioned in Wednesday's presidential debate that Vice President Cheney's daughter was a lesbian, according to the latest Washington Post tracking survey.

Nearly two in three likely voters -- 64 percent -- said Kerry's comment was "inappropriate," including more than four in 10 of his own supporters and half of all swing voters. A third -- 33 percent -- thought the remark was appropriate."

Ignoring this won't make it go away. The Repugs are gaining traction with it and the media is going to let them use it to beat us over the head with. It's all they've got and they know it.

[Nightjock]

14. I'm kicking this up

I am sick of some of the people here who live and die with bullshit polls. But since you believe them all- here are a couple you will not want to slit your wrists over.
It's no wonder some people stereotype us as whiny liberals.