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Violet_Crumble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-08-05 05:46 AM
Original message
No peace with Sharon
Gerald Kaufman
Wednesday December 7, 2005


I know the attractive Israeli seaside resort of Netanya well, having stayed several times at my niece's flat there. Not long ago I heard on BBC radio a series of interviews with residents of Netanya, which has in the past suffered a number of terrorist attacks. They rejoiced at how much easier the situation had become following the building of the Israeli separation wall, designed specifically to protect places like Netanya, located at the narrow neck of Israel's pre-1967 border. Two days ago five people were killed in a suicide bombing in Netanya.
All terrorist attacks are unjustifiable atrocities. Five Israelis are the latest victims. Over the past months, 15 Palestinians, two of them children, have been killed by Israeli troops. Their deaths attracted no headlines, but they are dead just the same.

I recently returned from leading the first British parliamentary delegation to the Palestinian Authority. What we saw is never seen by ordinary, decent Israelis, like the citizens of Netanya - who, since they dare not venture into the occupied territories, have no idea of the persecution of Palestinians being carried out in their name.

Last there two years ago, I was appalled at how an already unacceptable situation has deteriorated. There are now more than 600 fixed checkpoints in the tiny Palestinian area, which, with so-called flying checkpoints, make free movement almost impossible. In Bethlehem, which used to be crammed with tourists, we saw just two groups in Manger Square and the Church of the Nativity. The Old City of Nablus, which I knew for a quarter of a century as a hub of commercial activity, is also desolate. Heavily-armed Israeli troops man walls, gates and huts, all preventing Palestinians from moving about.

When our delegation, with Nablus Palestinians as our guides, tried to walk down one street our way was barred by Israeli soldiers pointing threatening weapons. When I explained our mission, a soldier said: "You can pass, but the Arabs cannot." Naturally, we refused to proceed. Meanwhile, we saw busloads of illegal Jewish settlers sailing through this restricted area at will.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/israel/Story/0,2763,1660589,00.html
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Wordie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-09-05 02:49 AM
Response to Original message
1. It is hard to imagine...
Edited on Fri Dec-09-05 02:50 AM by Wordie
I just can't really imagine what living in those sorts of circumstances would really be like; what it would do to me, if I were living there.


One of the motivations of this policy is to make the lives of the Palestinians so intolerable that they get out. The success of this ethnic cleansing is shown in Ramallah, which in the two years since I was last there (meeting Yasser Arafat in the bunker where he was incarcerated) has become bloated as Palestinians from other areas of the West Bank huddle together there.


It really has gotten much worse. (I'm sorry if my comments aren't so specifically political, but these thoughts are what hit me as I read the article. It saddens me.)
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pelsar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-09-05 03:50 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. its bad...
and probably getting worse as time goes on.......the solution?

the solution lies with the israelis...the ones who have no problem in leaving the westbank...it lies with isolating the settlers which the israeli govt (under sharon) has shown can be done

the solution lies in motivating those two groups.....and to do that they have to have confidencee in the PA that once they are in power, jersusalem, Tel Aviv, Ashkelon wont be under missle fire

and for that to happen, we look at Gaza, where the PA has full responsability for the political and economic life of the residents....and has failed to halt the rocket attacks on israel or gazans from trying to sneak into israel.

we see that the PA has now decided to pay monthly payments to families of suicide bombers.....

______________________________

neither middle israel nor the govt has much confidence in the PA as a governing body
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Violet_Crumble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-09-05 05:03 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I agree with you up to a point...
and that point is:

"and for that to happen, we look at Gaza, where the PA has full responsability for the political and economic life of the residents....and has failed to halt the rocket attacks on israel or gazans from trying to sneak into israel."

I think it's a bit unreasonable for Israel to demand the PA do these things and then put up barriers to ensure that they can't do it. Israel should be trying to make things easy for Abbas, but that's not what I'm seeing. Just like Israelis look at Gaza, Gazans look at the West Bank and see things getting continually worse. And even though the troops are gone from the ground in Gaza, Israel's been bombing it and doing the sonic-boom routine. As for Gazans trying to sneak into Israel, couldn't the same be said for the Mexican govt when it comes to Mexicans trying to cross the border into the US? And why are they trying to sneak into Israel? Is it to visit family members and/or to try to get work? They're not really motives I feel a lack of sympathy over...

I think the settlers who'd have no problem leaving the West Bank would leave regardless. The settlements aren't defending Israel against anything, so any argument that leaving the settlements would leave Israel open to attack is wrong. And it would be a waste of time trying to convince the settlers who need to be isolated by the Israeli govt of anything. They're intent on staying, no matter what, and if Gaza showed us anything, it's that they'll have to be dragged out kicking and screaming...

On the monthly payments to families of suicide bombers starting again - are these payments part of the welfare system there (eg, the bomber was the breadwinner for the family, so it's a sort of pension), or are they along the lines of payments to families of militants killed in the conflict? While Israel was demolishing homes of suicide-bombers, I had no problems with the families being paid as it went some way to compensate them for the loss of their homes, but if it's more a reward system, then I don't like the message it's sending out...

Violet...
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pelsar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-09-05 07:46 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. gazas the key.....
Edited on Fri Dec-09-05 08:01 AM by pelsar
the westbank is a mess...way too many conficting groups involved for anything really to happen....it will be even more difficult to rule when the IDF leaves. Each city has its own "local govt system" and pressure groups.

The main point being the IDF left gaza, the sonic booms, the artillary, the missles will easily go away once there is some kind of control there. Israel didnt leave gaza just to shoot at it from afar. (though the sonic booms and artillary terrorize...they arent killing anyone...). Israel left....

lots of complaining before gaza that israel has to make the first move, a concession. Well israel did, in a big way. Gave gaza back, gave them access to the world....either the PA can control is population or it cant. The happenings in the westbank obviously has an affect on the population in Gaza, but that should have no effect what so ever on the PAs governing ability. There will always be problems and groups that want to disrupt for one reason or another. Its part of governing, and part of that responsability is precisly that, controlling your population. Excuses are exactly that: excuses. (and it goes both ways-including israel)

the comparison to the mexican border is a "cheap one"...the gaza border is a military one on a war footing. Those who jump the fence are risking their lives, its the PA s responsability to take care of its citizens and keep them under control as well as provide for them....not israels, its part of the responsability thing.

a note about the settlers who want to leave...economically they cant, there homes are worthless. Until the govt works out a system for them (they've formed pressure group but the govt is stalling), they're stuck. Those that wont go, like in Gaza can be force out, the govt showed whos boss.

and the payments....its new (in the paper last week), its gives money to the family members, brothers, etc. Its more of a political move (not like the demolitions of the houses,).

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Violet_Crumble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 05:45 AM
Response to Reply #4
13. "Israel didnt leave gaza just to shoot at it from afar. "
Israel launches fresh air strikes in Gaza

Israel has launched fresh air strikes against Palestinian targets in the Gaza Strip.

Reports say the latest raids demolished two buildings used by Palestinian militants but caused no casualties.

The air strikes came just hours after a series of similar attacks against two vehicles in Gaza City which killed four members of the Popular Resistance Committees, prompting vows of revenge from the militant coalition.

http://www.rte.ie/news/2005/1215/mideast.html
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Wordie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-09-05 09:09 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. pelsar, do you really believe that it is all one-sided?
What if Israel were to remove all settlements from the West Bank. Don't you think that would reduce the attacks? What a statement of the intent of Israel towards peace that would be. And what if Israel (if Israel must insist on the wall) were to realign the wall so that followed 1967 borders? Don't you think that would reduce attacks as well? Either of those things would indicate such a good-faith effort that I think it would make a difference - strengthening Abbas' hand, as well. Isn't that what Israel wants?

You mention the Pals responsibility but leave out Israel's.
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pelsar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-09-05 02:24 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. good faith....
I've been hearing a lot about good faith moves for years....so what was gaza all about?....that was a dramatic move the removed settlements, gave the PA a chance to rule.

why is that not considered "good faith? As i see it, it was exactly that: a good faith move, now its the PAs turn


in answer to your question, if israel pulled back to the 67 line would that reduce attacks?...no, not at all. That would not be a "good faith" move....gaza was a good faith move. Pulling back to 67 right now would be a suicidal move.

that would place israels intl airport within range of palestenain missles...which would threaten the airport...have you any idea of the damage that would cause israel if the airport was under attack?..and the massive retailiation that the palestenains would suffer after that?

that type of risk comes after and only after the palesteanins can show some ability to rule themselves.....what kind of person would want the palestenains to come under massive attack from israel?
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GatoLover Donating Member (257 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-14-05 11:10 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. Withdrawing Jewish settlements from the West Bank
"What if Israel were to remove all settlements from the West Bank. Don't you think that would reduce the attacks? What a statement of the intent of Israel towards peace that would be. And what if Israel (if Israel must insist on the wall) were to realign the wall so that followed 1967 borders? Don't you think that would reduce attacks as well? Either of those things would indicate such a good-faith effort that I think it would make a difference - strengthening Abbas' hand, as well. Isn't that what Israel wants?"

If the Jewish settlements on the West Bank are really the problem, then why were there attacks prior to the building of the first settlements?
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simcha_6 Donating Member (333 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 01:46 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. You're confusing popular discontent with terrorist support
If Israel pulled back to '67 borders and built the fence, and tore down all settlements, here's what would probably happen, based off of past experience and current statements of intent.

1.) Hamas would declare victory, saying that it was violence that drove the Jews out of the West Bank. They did this is Gaza.

2.) In keeping with their charter, Hamas would continue to agitate for the destruction of Israel, most likely manifesting itself in violence (i.e. terror attacks in Israel proper.

3.) Hamas would use the 1967 border to their advantage. One of the reasons the fence cuts in is because militant groups snipe at cars on roads inside Israel from hills in the West Bank. The fence cuts in and crosses on top of these hills to prevent such snipings from occuring.

4.) The Palestinian population would be slightly more sympathetic to Israel. However, as Hamas began to acquire Qassams from Gaza (because Israel presumably isn't supposed to monitor trade between Gaza and W.B. any more than in Rafah) and snipes at Israeli cars and sends more suicide bombers to "liberate" the rest of the Palestinians (who, consequently, don't seem to be keen on being liberated when interviewed) Israel would eventually retaliate, as any state has the right to do according to the international rules of warfare. Such retaliation would be done from afar, since Israel could no longer enter the territories, so there would be shellings and missiles and probably some jet fighter attacks instead of the house to house searches that are a large part of typical Israeli responses to terrorism. More civilian casualties would occur than before with these imprecise tactics, raising ire again.

5.) If the PA does not make the West Bank safe immediately, and Israel is unable to police the West Bank, Jews will be unable to safely visit the Western Wall, Israeli Arabs will be unable to visit the Mosque of Omar, and likely as not, some settler terrorist will probably try to blow up the Dome of the Rock to stop any nascent march to peace. Shin Bet has had some close calls stopping Jewish terrorists from doing this. Anyone who thinks the PA could stop them are, I believe, overly optimistic to say the least.

I agree with Pelsar. The road map, and I believe Oslo, are based on confidence building exercizes. Israel makes a move, then the PA makes a move, then Israel makes a move again. Gaza was the first move. The appropriate next move for the PA would be to secure Gaza (no easy task- first the security organization has to be revamped, then closely monitored by the US, EU, or Israel, then they have to be given weapons under the condition that they only use them against Hamas, PFLP, Islamic Jihad, etc.). Then Israel might give up a portion on the West Bank, the PA secures that, and eventually acceptable borders are agreed upon.

To be honest, I think its impossible for the PA to disarm Hamas at present, so I think Israel should launch a major operation against Hamas and Islamic Jihad, then pull back behind the fence w/settlers, and build the wall to the sky until the PA gets its act together, at which point a final status agreement could be agreed upon. But politics and the fence's permanence make this plan impossible. I do think that, while Israel's demands are just, they are not realistic and should be adjusted.
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Violet_Crumble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 05:52 AM
Response to Reply #9
14. Did I miss where Israel has ever ceased it's occupation of the West Bank?
"If Israel pulled back to '67 borders and built the fence, and tore down all settlements, here's what would probably happen, based off of past experience.."

The problem with some of what you said is that past experience deals with a reality where Israel occupies the West Bank. If Israel withdraws to pre-67 borders, and a lasting peace that's fair to both Israelis and Palestinians ensues, it seems highly unlikely that Hamas with it's current political aspirations (note: they're not involved in attacks on Israel right now because of that) would go down what would be domestically a highly unpopular path....

Violet...
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simcha_6 Donating Member (333 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 06:58 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. Not at all
I'm basing my analysis on what happened when Israel makes concessions ever. I'm extrapolating, you could say.

When Israel was in the process of evacuating out of Gaza, Hamas lugged one of their Qassams to a hill and fired it at the Israeli convoy involved in giving land to the PA. It malfunctioned though, and fell on the Palestinian village from which they'd fired it, killing a couple of villagers. (What with that and the rocket that exploded in a rally that they blamed on Israel, Hamas was in the dog house for a while.)

You said: "note: they're not involved in attacks on Israel right now."

After the Gaza pullout, Hamas immediately announced the cease-fire was over, and began firing rockets at Sderot. The only reason they went back to the cease-fire was because Israel responded strongly to the rocket attacks and started killing so many Hamas leaders that they (Hamas) screamed for the truce again. I don't think this truce has anything to do with a new quest for peace on the part of Mashal. It's because they want to solidify their power. (By the way, that's another reason Hamas was in the dog house. The Gazans realized that Hamas was the reason they were being shelled at the time. Hamas wants to win elections, and since most Palestinians want peace, Hamas won't want to initiate attacks until they've won or lost.)

Speaking of which, is the truce still on between Hamas and Israel? After the Netanya bombing, Israel started attacking the responsible organization, and Hamas announced it would no longer abide by the truce.

Finally, I want to know if you reject the basis of the Road Map and Oslo: confidence building steps. Personally I think their asinine, since they empower the radicals, but since the world seems to have endorsed this concession trading system, why don't you think the PA should reciprocate progress. Otherwise, it would just be a cooperative unilateral withdrawal- Israel doing everything the PA demands on faith that the PA will do what Israel wants at some unspecified later date. That's not really negotiation or peace.

I don't want another situation like Lebanon, where Israel fulfills the world's demands, and gets monthly rocket vollies in return.



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Violet_Crumble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-16-05 05:03 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. The only problem is....
..that Israel doesn't make concessions ever. Everything it does involves Israel getting more out of things than it concedes..

Can you supply a link to this incident with the Qassam killing Palestinian villagers when it was being fired at a military convoy? I don't remember seeing anything about that...

Um, I said Hamas wasn't involved in attacks right now, which is totally correct...

btw, Israel does not have a truce with Hamas. The closest it got recently was holding off on attacking Hamas members...

I wrote a longish essay for uni about the failure of the Oslo Accords, which I posted here a while back. If you want, I can find a link to it for you to read. Personally I think neither Oslo nor the Road Map were intended to give the Palestinians a viable and independent state...

I'm not sure where you got the idea that Israel does everything the PA demands on faith. If that was the case, the occupation would have ended long ago....

Have you noticed that Israel is continuing to expand settlements in the West Bank? I'm just curious to find out what you think of that, considering it's a violation of Israel's undertakings with the Road Map (which, btw, is a dead duck)...

Violet...
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simcha_6 Donating Member (333 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-17-05 02:36 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. Okay, here's what I think
Israel doesn't make concessions ever.

I think of pulling out of Gaza as a concession. It gives the PA a chance at proving its ability to rule, pulls out checkpoints in that region, gives the settlements to the PA. The World Bank reported that, thanks to internal reform, Israel's withdrawal, and international aid, the Palestinian economy is set to grow by 5% this year. Other concessions would be allowing the EU to police Rafah with the PA without giving Israel direct control of the Gaza Egypt border. Since arms are likely to be smuggled through there, I think that counts as a concession. So does allowing convoys across Israel, and offering to give up over 90% of the landmass taken from Jordan and Gaza to the Palestinians in 2000.

Everything it does involves Israel getting more out of things than it concedes

What's wrong with that? If I give you a Christmas cookie because I know I'll get three Christmas cookies from someone else in return, you still benefit, don't you? And in the case of Israel, the things Israel gives up are important to the security of its citizens. In a democratic system, that's dangerous, the because the moment someone gets killed, the public wants your head on a stick (figuratively speaking) and most politicians are very short-sighted. Those who aren't are thrown out of power.

Can you supply a link to this incident with the Qassam killing Palestinian villagers when it was being fired at a military convoy?

Alas, I cannot. I'd Google it if I were you. I'm a university student, and one of my suite-mates is even more obsessed with the Mid-East than I am. He was really into Lebanon until he went there last summer and realized everyone expects to kill each other in a new civil war soon. He decided to focus his energies on the Palestinians, who actually seem (as a people) to have some hope for a brighter future. He and his girlfriend, who's as obsessed as he is (and it's all about Israel/Palestine to her, no Lebanon interests there) mentioned the event a few weeks ago when we were discussing Hamas' chances in the elections. They're both really conscientious though when it comes to the Mid-East, and I didn't think to ask them their source. Maybe I'll try asking when break's over. They have always seemed trustworthy to me, though, and I've lived with them for over a year, minus the summer.

I said Hamas wasn't involved in attacks right now, which is totally correct

I thought I heard they were firing Qassams at Israel, but then those events do seem to run together. They did announce an end to the official truce though.

Israel does not have a truce with Hamas. The closest it got recently was holding off on attacking Hamas members

I sort of thought that was a truce. All the newspapers and websites refer to a truce, mostly as they describe how shaky it is. But like I said, I'm only a college student. What do I know?

I'm not sure where you got the idea that Israel does everything the PA demands on faith.

I'm sorry, I didn't mean to say they do everything the PA demands on faith. I meant if they did pull out of the W.B. immediately and completely, as some people on this thread seem to be advocating, that would be making giant concessions on faith that the PA would live up to its end of the deal (i.e. stop terrorists from killing Israelis, keep the Western Wall, Cave of Patriarchs and other forefathers safe and accessible for Jews and Israeli Muslims to visit.) Since the PA is incapable of doing this- they use this as an argument as to why they shouldn't be expected to do it, and I actually agree with them- it makes sense to me that Israel would want to wait until the PA was capable of fulfilling its end of the deal, and had in part done so, before taking the next step in concessions.

Have you noticed that Israel is continuing to expand settlements in the West Bank?

Yeah, I have.

I'm just curious to find out what you think of that, considering it's a violation of Israel's undertakings with the Road Map

I'd expect nothing less of Sharon, which is why I'm disappointed Kadima's beating Labor so soundly in the polls. However, interesting things are happening with those settlements. Palestinians are starting to move into them. So long as the neighborhood councils don't put a stop to it, this could turn out to be very funny. Apparently Palestinians are hoping they'll drive out the Jews. (Have you heard of the "vast white ring conspiracy?" It's a joke name for a demographic phenomena of how, when a minority community moves into a white city, the whites go to suburban "rings," and when the minorities move into suburbia, the whites move to the "exurban ring," so white areas become minority areas, until the whites move into the center of the city again, gentrify it, then, I guess, the whole process begins over again. Look up a demographic textbook and you should be able to find examples of this phenomenon, under a more scholarly name, of course.) Seriously, I'm against the expansion of settlements. I don't like Bush, but I'm embarrassed for him when Sharon talks about sticking to the Road Map. I take a rather pragmatic, un-idealistic view of the conflict though, which I admit is easier for me since I'm pro-Israel. Since Israel is in the stronger position of the two parties, and since Israel can deliver on its promises, and since the Palestinians are the weaker of the two parties, and cannot deliver on their promises (not their fault really, it's just that the PA is too weak and Hamas it too strong), Israel will end up dictating the terms of the agreement in the end. That's likely to include certain settlements like Ariel and (curse it) Ma'aleh Adumim. On the other hand, I'm beginning to wonder if Sharon might split Jerusalem. He's denying it so adamantly, but I thought he made sounds of consideration before. Splitting Jerusalem doesn't sound like him, but then, neither did the Gaza disengagement.

(which, btw, is a dead duck)

You're right there. The problem with these agreements, I think, is that they rely on confidence building measures, which empower those who are opposed to peace. One serious strike (shooting up a mosque, blowing up a shopping mall) brings the whole thing crashing down. Unilateral concessions are the only way, I think, unless the Israeli politicians have enough clout in the Knesset for a"D*** the torpedo's, full speed ahead" approach to fulfilling the road map. As is common in a multi-party democracy, they never do.

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0007 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-11-05 05:35 PM
Response to Original message
7. Where is a genuine effort at working for peace in the Middle East?
It is non-existence. But you hear all these money making politicians telling the world progress is being made.
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Tom Joad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 02:12 AM
Response to Original message
10. Where is security for Palestinians? Aren't they the ones threatened
in their daily lives with constant threats... not by an armed group, but by one of the largest militaries on the Planet??

Gazans still lack security. Palestinians in the West Bank even more so, seperated by illegal settlements that grow and grow and grow(all with the now official blessing of the US, before it was unofficial blessing, a small difference, but only in words, not in actual facts on the ground)

I spent several weeks in Nablus, and know the situation you speak of. These military tactics are clearly meant to dehumanize and demoralize the population. It is designed to make people give up and leave.

Its not gonna happen.

The best part, for most of us, is that more and more people in the US are aware of what is really going on, and we will demand change.
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Behind the Aegis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 03:40 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Ask the PA.
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pelsar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-15-05 04:47 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. yes you are right...
Gazans still lack security

mainly because that just cant seem to be able to control the various jihadnikim.....start with the basics and worry about the palestenian citizen in gaza who has no idea when hes going to get caught up in a cross fire...or better yet, start an organization to go to gaza and act as human shields to protect them....(wear a bullet proof vest, preferable one made up of ceramics), instead of one of those orange ones)

or better yet, go to israel and act as a human shield against the kassams coming out of gaza....
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