I'm perfectly aware that mass shootings are a sufficiently rare occurrence, comparatively speaking; even in the worst years, the victims of mass public/workplace shootings didn't even form 1% of the total number of homicide victims.
But hey. Making people afraid of the bogeymen who lurk in their places of employment and houses of worship and institutions of higher learning, and are just so damned strange and unpredictable, is one damned good way of selling the gun militant agenda.
I didn't say people
should be more scared of becoming a random victim of a mass shooting than of being murdered by someone "known to the victim" (a term that includes such things as rival drug dealers, fellow gang members of suspected informants, and stalkers). I asserted that they
are, and moreover, that it is, in the context of this thread, the Violence Policy Center--part of the gun
prohibition lobby--that is attempting to foster and exploit this fear in pursuit of its own agenda. That's why the VPC employs this peculiar definition of "mass shooting," in order to create soundbites that are more attention-grabbing; I don't think it's controversial to assert that sixteen "mass shootings" by CCW permit holders sounds scarier than five or six.
Let me clarify, moreover, that I do not contend that the violent behavior of mass shooters is entirely unpredictable. It is most certainly predictable, but only to people who knew the shooter before the shooting occurred. Nobody at the North Valley Jewish Community Center could predict the behavior of Buford Furrow because they didn't know he existed before he walked in and started shooting; ditto with the shoppers at the Tacoma Mall with regards to Dominick Maldonado, or the diners at the Luby's in Killeen, TX with regard to George Hennard. By contrast, at least some of the students in Norris Hall at Virginia Tech who were at least somewhat acquainted with Cho stated afterward that, when they became aware there was a shooting in progress, they suspected the shooter was Cho, given his prior history.
Meanwhile, just avert your eyes when it comes to the real bogeymen in far, far more people's lives: the ones living in their homes and eating at their dinner tables <...>
On what evidence do you base your assertion that I'm "averting my eyes"? If I'm failing to mention that kind of incident in this thread, that's because it's not relevant to the topic of this thread. The implied point of the VPC's ongoing "Concealed Carry killers" report is that the deaths listed were made possible by the fact that the persons responsible (at least in part) had been issued CCW permits, the further logical implication being that, had they not been issued the permits, the deaths could have been averted. Now when it comes to intimate partner murders and familicides, I acknowledge that, yes, I assert that those deaths "don't count"
in the context of the VPC's implied hypothesis, namely that these murders (NB: I do call them murders) would not have occurred if the perpetrator had not been issued a CCW permit. Since there is no jurisdiction in the United States that requires a CCW permit to keep a firearm in one's home, it follows that the murderer's possession of a CCW permit (or lack thereof) is irrelevant to any instance in which the murders took place in the perp's home.
From your earlier post:
And all those guys who shoot their wives and kids and then themselves -- commonly called suicide-homicides -- let's also make sure we keep their deaths in the suicide column <...>
I'm sorry, but you seem to under the misapprehension that I'm a member of the Japanese government. The Japanese language actually has multiple terms for familicidal murder-suicides:
ikka-shinju is when all members of a family agree to die (e.g. to erase the family's shame), and the parents kill the children with the children's consent before killing themselves;
muri-shinju is when one of the parents unilaterally decides to commit suicide, and take at least one family member with him/her. According to one source:
Now here's the dirty secret:
muri-shinju literally translates to "forced suicide" and all victims of such an incident are listed as suicides, which goes a long way toward explaining why Japan has such a comparatively low homicide rate, and such a high suicide rate.
Another factor is that Japanese police are evidently somewhat over-eager to class possible homicides as suicides, because a ruling of suicide allows them to close the case. For example, in 2003, an unidentified prison inmate confessed to having murdered a 21 year-old man named Yoshiki Koyama in 1980, by tying his wrists and ankles and throwing him off the Ikusaka dam. The police and public prosecutor at the time ruled the death a suicide, blithely ignoring the question how someone could bind his own wrists before throwing himself into the reservoir (
http://www.glocom.org/special_topics/social_trends/20040120_trends_s67/index.html).
Oh, here's an odd thing: Japan has one of the most stringent sets of restrictions on private firearms ownership in the world. Of the few officially acknowledged homicides, even fewer are committed using a firearm. Now, if I may display a certain amount of racism, due to having had at least one family member murdered by Japanese troops during World War II, I have little objection to any system that prevents Japanese nationals (as distinct from persons of Japanese descent who are citizens of countries other than Japan, i.e.
Nisei and
Sansei in the Americas and Australia) from possessing any kind of weapon, though that applies to agents of the Japanese state
even more than it does to private citizens.
My personal
prejudices aside, the example of Japan makes it painfully obvious that familicidal murder-suicides can and do occur even in the most restrictive regimes concerning private firearms ownership. Evidently, it's not a question of availability of firearms, but rather, the culturally induced tendency that regards such an action as acceptable, even laudable.
The overwhelming majority of homicides (choose your weapon) is committed by people known to the victim and, in the case of women in particular, people with whom the victim is or has been intimate. And the fact is that those homicides are not predictable.
The hell they aren't. Seriously, pick up a copy of
The Gift of Fear by Gavin de Becker. It's a serious eye-opener, and for what it's worth, he takes a dim view of private citizens owning guns too (though he has no compunction about assigning armed bodyguards to his clients, but just because the guy's more than a little hypocritical when it comes to guns it doesn't invalidate everything he says). He points out that we predict other people's behavior in traffic every day, almost always correctly, and then we pretend we can't predict human behavior when it comes to violence. Yeah, that notion is so much horsecrap.