Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Ok, I'm going to be a chicken little again...

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Economy Donate to DU
 
MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 04:59 PM
Original message
Ok, I'm going to be a chicken little again...
Edited on Wed Feb-25-09 05:11 PM by MercutioATC
(Seems I was called a chicken little when I started posting in January of 2007 about really ugly economic times coming ...)

The biggest thing holding inflation in check right now is tight credit. Expect further low inflation...and possibly some deflation...in the short term (6-9 months). Within 18 months, all of this spending will trigger double-digit inflation...and the traditional "raise the Fed rate" silver bullet won't be available.

...or maybe I'm wrong this time.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Taverner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. Will this be the Terminal Hyperinflation that finally kills our economy?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 05:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I don't think it'll be an end of the world thing, but it'll be ugly and protracted.
Depending on how it's dealt with, it could have effects like significant civil unrest.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Taverner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 05:03 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. We're already seeing civil unrest in most of the world
Who knows if it will happen here

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Things aren't bad here yet.
Kill a few million more jobs and add significant inflation and I believe we'll see unrest the likes of which we haven't seen before.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
notesdev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
4. The Fed 'cure' for inflation is higher rates
Lowering the rates loosens the money supply and causes inflation to rise... when it does, raising the rates is the tool to try and lower inflation. In other words, inflation is proportional to growth in the money supply, and the Fed Funds Rate should move inversely with the inflation rate.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 05:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Typo...corrected in the OP. Thanks.
The "RAISE the Fed rate" won't be available because the inflation won't be caused by rampant economic growth...the economy will still be in the tank, though probably slightly better than it is now.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
JohnWxy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-25-09 06:33 PM
Response to Original message
7. The REpublican Deregulation Dystopia is killing inflation by inflating the unemployment rate.
When the unemployment rate is three times the inflation rate, inflation is the last of our worries.

The Republican Dystopia
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri Apr 26th 2024, 01:51 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Economy Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC