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It's been five months since the last time with this poll, let's see if views here have changed.
9/11: WHAT IS YOUR "HOP" LEVEL?
Of the attempts to categorize 9/11 theories I've seen, some beg questions or unfairly characterize what people think. Most are simply vague in their terms. I tried to do better with the following list of nine graduated options, which I believe fairly describe the differing opinions people actually have (short of those who believe in divine or extraterrestrial intervention). This remains a mental exercise, but I hope it helps sharpen our logic.
1 THE OFFICIAL STORY 19 hijackers planned 9/11 and carried it out using knives and mace to hijack the flights, without requiring any help from outside the bin Laden/Qaeda cell networks. Despite the indirect warnings and predictions from investigators and terror experts, the U.S. government did not acquire or synthesize sufficient intelligence prior to Sept. 11 to prevent the attacks. In fact, it makes sense that the attacks were not prevented, since they took advantage of our free society and weaknesses in the system prior to Sept. 11. In other words, the opposition should stop trying to use 9/11 against Bush or anyone else. 9/11 skeptics merely discredit themselves.
2 INCOMPETENCE THEORY Accepting the official story, this option adds the likelihood that the failures to prevent or defend against 9/11 were due to incompetence or criminal negligence on the part of the White House, FBI, CIA, NSA and/or other intelligence agencies. While malicious intent or foreknowledge on the part of U.S. government operatives is unthinkable, 9/11 is worth investigating to clear up where the failures lie. This is the now-open line of the Kean Commission, although they have signalled that these failures will be found only at middle and lower levels. It is more or less what Wesley Clark & a few other politicians are pushing, although they presume high-level failures leading back to Bush. It is usually coupled with emphatic promotion for the "War on Terror" and stricter "Homeland Security."
3 SAUDI/TALIBAN DOUBLE CROSS, BUSH APATHY As in choice 1, the U.S. was blindsided. But the active involvement of fundamentalist Saudis in high places, at least in financing al-Qaeda, was far greater than so far revealed. The Bushies don't want that to get out, because it will make them look bad. That is why they obstructed the 9/11 inquiries. Bush & Co. called off terror investigations by the FBI before Sept. 11 as a favor to their Saudi clients. This recklessly facilitated the attacks, but the Bushies would have stopped the attacks, had they been smart enough to figure them out in advance. This is more or less what Greg Palast says and what Michael Moore presents in Fahrenheit 9/11. Related Variant: Focuses on the Taliban. In early 2001, Bush & Co. looked away from the possibility of an attack and lowered the intensity of Bin Laden investigations so as to facilitate the ongoing pipeline negotiations with the Taliban. This is the line of Dasquie and Brisard's "The Forbidden Truth."
4 WISHING FOR PEARL HARBOR ("Letting It Happen") Bush & Co. intentionally looked the other way in early 2001, expecting and hoping an attack would happen so that they could push through their PNAC/Christian Nation/Plunder Program wholesale - including the already-planned invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. They knew vaguely what was coming, may have provoked it and saw to it that it would not be prevented. But they did not directly facilitate the attacks, or incriminate themselves. They may have even been surprised at how horrible the actual attacks were. This position is popular at "Democratic Underground," as a default for those who suspect LIHOP but think the evidence is too thin. Max Cleland appears to have supported it before he shut up altogether on 9/11.
5 FULL LIHOP/LIHOP PLUS LIHOP = Letting It Happen On Purpose As in the official story, hijackers were dispatched by "al-Qaeda" (the Bin Laden-inspired cell networks) to carry out the 9/11 plan. However, Bush & Co. and/or other elements in the U.S. government, secret services or establishment knew about the attacks in advance and worked to ensure they would happen, with the intent of exploiting a New Pearl Harbor. This insider help included obstruction of FBI investigations, the Air Force standdown, and possible construction of other excuses for inaction, such as "we were only holding a wargame and it was subverted by evildoers."
5a. In LIHOP PLUS, the insiders took steps to guarantee that the 9/11 plot would succeed (why leave something so important in the hands of amateurs?), infiltrating and helping the hijackers, possibly even replacing them or steering the planes (or drones) by remote control, or doing whatever else was thought necessary.
NOTE: Scenarios 5a to 9 may or may not include a WTC demolition.
FULL DISCLOSURE: I think the likeliest hypothesis is of an inside job that exploited a "genuine" terrorist plot. Sometime between the Bojinka Plot of 1996 and 9/11 itself, the original Islamist extremist dream of crashbombing planes into American targets was subverted and then steered to fruition by masterminds within the U.S. power elite. This is the logical way to leave a robust trail of evidence pointing to the patsies. The perfect plot would produce a patsy who sincerely believed he had done it himself and was proud of it - like Marinus van der Lubbe, the man executed for burning the Reichstag.
6 NORTHWOODS 2001 MIHOP = Making It Happen On Purpose There were no hijackers. The whole thing was planned long before 2001 and finally executed as an inside job by elements within the U.S. intel apparatus and the Bush mob, including the creation of the false-flag excuses, using patsies or a completely fake lists of perpetrators. The planes were flown by remote control or were replaced by drones. Wargames mimicking the actual attacks were held on Sept. 11 so as to confuse the majority of the military and provide a back-up cover story. The whole thing might as well have been Made in Hollywood - and that may even be the case, given the long history of CIA-Hollywood connections.
7 NWO RULES NWO = New World Order Same as Northwoods 2001, but the master plotters are not just "elements within the U.S. intel apparatus" but the global corporate ruling elite - a hardcore faction of which decided, as a group, to orchestrate an incident allowing them to gain greater control of the world Zeitgeist. 9/11 allows their proxies to seize key resources, reshape the world, drop the democratic facades and transition to open corporate feudalism; depopulation is one of the likely goals. The Bush mob are lower-order handmaidens, who may not have been privy to details in advance. The real players steered the propaganda before and after 9/11 to make it work. This is the Chaim Kupferberg/Michel Chossudovsky/Don Paul approach.
8 ROGUE FACTION / "NEOCONS" / MOSSAD / BUSHCO. SUCKERED Bush & Co. themselves were blindsided by super right-wing elements within the U.S. mil/intel complex, who effectively attempted or even succeeded in staging a coup. This is how I interpret the views of LaRouche, Thierry Miessan, and others. Please pick this one if you think the locus of the plot is within Israeli/"Zionist" interests.
9 THIRD STATE Various theories, usually pushed by lone crusaders, have mixed and matched to lay the primary blame on Iraq, Pakistan, China, Russia or German Nazis, sometimes a combination. (If you still think the primary locus of the plot was within the U.S. intel apparatus, go to choices 5 to 7. For Saudi Arabia or Taliban, go to Choice 3.)
10 DON'T KNOW Some have rushed to describe complete scenarios of given events that seem to incorporate all facts but could still be wrong. We lack the power to subpeona records or bring up witnesses who could answer given questions. We have been flooded with misinformation from many sources: agencies of the U.S. and other countries, officials looking to cover themselves or score points, the media, opportunist authors, fake whistleblowers and putative witnesses. The worst impulse is to declare the case closed for one's favorite scenario. We must keep probing and correcting. We need to establish genuine peer review and a common data base, and kill off some of the more persistent errors that still crop up. (Perhaps we have that already: COOPERATIVERESEARCH.ORG) And we must, obviously, keep fighting for genuine independent investigation and disclosure - even as we work on larger political strategies to deal with the reality that the U.S. government will never disclose the full truth of 9/11, until the people force it.
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