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Bush-Kerry electoral vote tie? It IS possible? And how is a tie decided?

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cryofan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 07:13 AM
Original message
Bush-Kerry electoral vote tie? It IS possible? And how is a tie decided?
Get ready to read something REALLY disgusting:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>


"It's not as unlikely as most people might imagine," said Electoral College expert Michael White at the National Archives. To win, a candidate needs 270 of the 538 electoral votes. The way the states are leaning, there are several scenarios under which both George Bush and John Kerry end up with 269 -- one electoral vote short.

In that case, the GOP-controlled House of Representatives gets to pick the president, ensuring a Bush victory.

Bush's election via the Supreme Court despite losing the popular vote has left a shadow over his presidency. Getting to a tie is shockingly easy. The simplest scenario is this: If all the states except Louisiana vote the same way in 2004 as they did in 2000, it's a tie.

Another scenario, plausible because polls are neck and neck in all four states, projects that two Al Gore states -- Wisconsin and New Mexico -- flip to Bush, and two Bush states -- New Hampshire and Ohio -- flip to Kerry.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>
more here:
http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/politics/2485511
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patricia92243 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 07:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. Showed ho important it was to have Democrats across the board, now we've..
waited too late.

Republicans are here to stay and lost frredoms will ensure this.
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cryofan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 08:41 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. If bush gets re-selected, we will have a massive Dem landslide in 2008
and all three branches will then be Democratic. THat is why I think it might be for the best for bush to win 2004. I am serious! I think it would be even better if Bush wins by an electoral vote tie as described above.
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Finch Donating Member (487 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 08:44 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. I have been thinking that...
... 2004 - 2008 will rival 1976 - 1980 as the worst time to be elected president IMHO... Baby boomer's retiring on thin air, ballooning deficit, Bush keeping on spending, this mini-recovery faltering (interesting fact Nixon altered his economic polices to create a recovery for 1972 then reverted to type and plunged the county back into economic melt down)... all in all every thing is set for Rendell/ Ford in 08 and retaking the senate in 2006 and then the house in 08... at least thats what i think...
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i_c_a_White_Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
3. It then goes to the house of reps
and you know what will happen then.
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Finch Donating Member (487 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 08:47 AM
Response to Reply #3
5.  Bush wins...but
... if we take the senate... and we have a 1/3 chance IMHO the VP will be a Dem! and a lock for the Prez nomination in 2008 (so long as its not Graham or some other old guy like Gerhardt) come on Vice President Edwards or Landrieu or Warner or Nelson or Bayh... oh well its possible...
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KG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-04-04 08:48 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. interesting thought
would the vote be split along party lines? i'm thinking that would not be a given.
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