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radfringe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:24 AM
Original message
Tuesday Morning poll numbers
Edited on Tue Mar-30-04 04:37 AM by radfringe

http://www.pollingreport.com/

on edit: they changed the "graph" just after I posted... but below are the numbers from the original "graph"

bush* barely beats Kerry (statistical ties)
--Investor's business Daily
.......bush* 46% Kerry 43%

--NBC News/Wall Street Journal
.......bush* 47% Kerry 45%

TIED
--Faux news
......bush* 44% Kerry 44%

Kerry beats bush*
--American Research Group
.......Kerry 50% bush* 43%

--CNN/USA Today/Gallop
.......Kerry 52% bush* 44%

--ABC/WP
.......Kerry 53% bush* 44%

averages:
Kerry: 47.8%
bush*: 44.6%
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Lexingtonian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:35 AM
Response to Original message
1. kinda bogus, but more or less tied

Within margin of error it's back to 45-45 or so. And some of these polls are outliers- Bush 'approval' is ~46%, that would be his upper limit in accurate polling.

There just isn't a sustaining a General Election campaign this far away from Election Day. I'm not surprised that swing voters have begun to tune out again- that seems more likely to me than any real shift in public opinion.
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:42 AM
Response to Original message
2. They ARE changing it...over and over...
Edited on Tue Mar-30-04 04:42 AM by BullGooseLoony
Weird...it had data from 3/7 and 3/8
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stewert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:45 AM
Response to Original message
3. Polls........
Edited on Tue Mar-30-04 04:49 AM by stewert
No disrespect rad but these polls are meaningless.

It's march, almost april, the american people have an attention span of about a month,
if that. The polls will not mean a thing until about late september or early october. All this
stuff going on right now will be long forgotten by october.

Not to mention all the polls have been saying only 1 to 2 percent of people are not sure,
that means most people have already made up their mind who they plan to vote for. And
other books may come out exposing Bush as a lying crook, more people may come out
exposing him too. November is a long way off, lots of things could happen by then.

In november the liberals and the democrats will vote for Kerry, the conservatives and the
republicans will vote for Bush. In 2000 the liberals and the democrats cast 3 million more
votes than the conservatives and the republicans. The liberals and the democrats are
energized to vote, I am guessing Bush will lose big. Remember we are the majority, if
all the liberals and all the democrats vote, Bush don't have a chance.

I would say lighten up and relax, don't worry about the polls until late september or early
october.




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radfringe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:49 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. I track the polls
and correlate them with terra-lerts etc... I know that alot can happen between now and Nov and these numbers will go up and down accordingly

http://radicalfringe.freeservers.com/custom2.html



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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 04:56 AM
Response to Original message
5. those attack ads against Kerry are working
and other attacks. but it's still early and hopefully the kerry team has a good plan to deal with this shit. kerry should also get the vp announcement bounce later on which i hope they plan in a way to get as much momentum in the polls as they can out of it. the good news is the numbers are still very close and for an incumbant the bush numbers are not good especially considering all they are spending to attack kerry including the free media they get compared to the small amount kerry's side has spent.
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izzie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-30-04 05:00 AM
Response to Original message
6. Please keep posting these. I like to read them
Nov is the real one but I like to look at these. I still see no bumper stickers out and no off hand remarks. Interesting as when Clinton first ran it was every place and soon after we knew he would run.
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