Texas demographer: 'It's basically over for Anglos'

[dtotire]

Texas demographer: 'It's basically over for Anglos'

Looking at population projections for Texas, demographer Steve Murdock concludes: "It's basically over for Anglos."

Two of every three Texas children are now non-Anglo and the trend line will become even more pronounced in the future, said Murdock, former U.S. Census Bureau director and now director of the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University.



Today's Texas population can be divided into two groups, he said. One is an old and aging Anglo and the other is young and minority. Between 2000 and 2040, the state's public school enrollment will see a 15 percent decline in Anglo children while Hispanic children will make up a 213 percent increase, he said.

The state's largest county - Harris - will shed Anglos throughout the coming decades. By 2040, Harris County will have about 516, 000 fewer Anglos than lived in the Houston area in 2000, while the number of Hispanics will increase by 2.5 million during the same period, Murdock said. The projection assumes a net migration rate equal to one-half of 1990-2000.

more:
http://blogs.chron.com/texaspolitics/archives/2011/02/texas_demograph.html

[bluestateguy]

1. That will be a very good day indeed

But as long as one third of Hispanics (sometimes as much as 40-45%) vote Republican in Texas, it will remain very hard for Democrats to win any statewide election in that state.

[Igel]

14. Probably not.

Except for all the wrong reasons. There's a group of DUers who, if you reversed the "polarity" would be aghast. It's all about skin color, but since they're against the oppressor skin tones it's okay. But I digress.

If you look at graduation rates and test scores, college attendance and academic achievement, there's a fairly clear trend. Whites and Asians do better than Latinos, and Latinos do better than blacks, but Latino ELLs do really poorly. Nothing's been able to make a decent dent in that.

If http://centerforeducation.rice.edu/Research/AvoidableLosses.htm is to be believed, the system is actually biased towards making the situation worse.

[underpants]

2. Texas is going to be a "battleground" state in 2012

but I would suspect that it will be underplayed by the media the same way Virginia was in 2004 and how the Virginia numbers were reported on at the same second that Obama was declared the winner - can't have people thinking that we won this state you know.

[Loki]

3. Good

They do all the hard work in this state while the fat, white Republicans get rich from their labor. I for one will be happy to see this happen, the sooner the better. Maybe then, this state will start to act sane again.

[Vogon_Glory]

4. If Hispanics Turn Out To Vote In The Same Numbers They Did In 2010...

If Hispanics continue to vote in the same proportion to their numbers that they did in 2010, Texas is likely as not going to continue to be an integral part of the Republican Party's voting strength in Congress and in the Senate. In this last election, the right-wing TEA baggers and right wing-nuts turned out in force while Hispanics stayed home. The result was not only a blowout that knocked the Texas Democratic Party back even further behind where it was twenty years ago, but both the Texas Democratic Party and Mexican-Americans alike are going to find that making their voices heard at the polls and in the Texas legislature is going to be even HARDER than it was before.

So whatever the demographics may be, right-wing Texas Republican white folks are going to be calling the shots unless Mexican-American voters are willing to go to the polls and fight a decade-long campaign to change that.

:argh:

[marmar]

5. By 'Anglo', does he mean white?

Seems like he's mixing terms up. I take Anglo to mean 'English-speaker.' Seems like the term he should be using is non-Hispanic whites.

[Igel]

10. Yep.

That's precisely the accepted definition in the local speech community.

I don't see how you get "English speaker" as a possible meaning. I know lots of English-speaking Latinos and can't see how the term could be applied to them.

It's a thoroughly racist term, but it's commonly used by Spanish-speakers and was borrowed into English. (I'm an "anglo" in the same way that Mexicans and Venezuelans are "Spanish".)

[marmar]

12. 'I don't see how you get "English speaker" as a possible meaning.'

I suppose I'm not in your 'local speech community', n'est-ce pas?

[Igel]

15. Nope.

By "speech community" I mean the SW, from Texas to California. Same usage in the media and on the street when I was in Los Angeles, when I'm in Phoenix, and when I'm in San Antonio or Houston. 100+ million people.

Then again, I'm a linguist and translator so I consider words like "speech community" to be about as common as "cup" or "sidewalk." More common than "sidewalk," come to think of it.

[MasonJar]

6. So what? Americans are all immigrants, except the most poorly

treated of all, the American Indian. Why even differentiate by white and Hispanics? I have found the Hispanic people truly lovely, kind and generous and loving and interesting. I cannot say that for many whites.

[bemildred]

7. About time. nt

[phantom power]

8. It's peculiar to equate "no longer majority" with "over"

Like, did we lose some kind of competition?

:shrug:

[Stevepol]

9. But it's far from over for electronic voting machines.

Hence, the demographic shift which has already happened means nothing.

[bhikkhu]

11. Keeping in mind that "hispanic" is essentially a native american mix

the turnabout of history has a certain irony to it.

[Sailing]

13. Speaking as a Texas Anglo...

HURRAY!!!!

[Zoeisright]

16. Gee, maybe the white majority should have treated minorities better, huh?

What goes around comes around.

I have NO sympathy for whites who fear becoming minorities. And I am white.

[roberto IS beto]

17. A dream of democracy

The United States of America is not about language, or skin color, or faith. We are an experiment in self-government. We are a dream of democracy -- without a king, or a ruling class. The Southwest is leading the way in showing us how to live in this messy, sometimes harsh, dream of a country.