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How Clinton Will Win The Nomination by Losing South Carolina (commentary by Dick Morris)

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AwesomeFreak Donating Member (23 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 11:42 PM
Original message
How Clinton Will Win The Nomination by Losing South Carolina (commentary by Dick Morris)
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 11:43 PM by AwesomeFreak
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Dick Morris-Rasmussen Reports


Hillary Clinton will undoubtedly lose the South Carolina primary as African-Americans line up to vote for Barack Obama. And that defeat will power her drive to the nomination.
The Clintons are encouraging the national media to disregard the whites who vote in South Carolina’s Democratic primary and focus on the black turnout, which is expected to be quite large. They have transformed South Carolina into Washington, D.C. — an all-black primary that tells us how the African-American vote is going to go.
By saying he will go door to door in black neighborhoods in South Carolina matching his civil rights record against Obama’s, Bill Clinton emphasizes the pivotal role the black vote will play in the contest. And by openly matching his record on race with that of the black candidate, he invites more and more scrutiny focused on the race issue.

Of course, Clinton is going to lose that battle. Blacks in Nevada overwhelmingly backed Obama and will obviously do so again in South Carolina, no matter how loudly former President Clinton protests. So why is he making such a fuss over a contest he knows he’s going to lose?
Precisely because he is going to lose it. If Hillary loses South Carolina and the defeat serves to demonstrate Obama’s ability to attract a bloc vote among black Democrats, the message will go out loud and clear to white voters that this is a racial fight. It’s one thing for polls to show, as they now do, that Obama beats Hillary among African-Americans by better than 4-to-1 and Hillary carries whites by almost 2-to-1. But most people don’t read the fine print on the polls. But if blacks deliver South Carolina to Obama, everybody will know that they are bloc-voting. That will trigger a massive white backlash against Obama and will drive white voters to Hillary Clinton...

continued:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/political_commentary/commentary_by_dick_morris/how_clinton_will_win_the_nomination_by_losing_south_carolina
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 11:43 PM
Response to Original message
1. Using Dick Morris as a reference?
:rofl:
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AwesomeFreak Donating Member (23 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 11:46 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Well, ideas, good or bad, are worth noting
Ask Barack.

:-)
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Voltaire99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 03:56 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. Yes, Dick Morris: former Clinton scumball hire.
You're judged, in politics especially, by the sleazy company you keep!
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Warren Stupidity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 11:45 PM
Response to Original message
2. Dick Morris can go fuck himself. nt.
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CoffeeCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 11:50 PM
Response to Original message
4. That has been the strategy since NH...
...when Hillary made this contest about race.

Her comment about Johnson being "important too" in the civil rights movement appeared
to minimize MLK's role--as Hillary tried to emphasis the point that it also takes
a seasoned President to enact big changes. Hillary's comment ignited off a firestorm in the black community. Since
then, this contest has been about race.

Does anyone actually believe this isn't orchestrated?

I would also say that Hillary leaving the state is a further attempt to make this
entirely about race. If she stays and campaigns, she will garner more support--and a close
outcome will not solidify Obama as the "black candidate".

That's what the Clintons are doing.

Rove's got nothing on these scumbags.

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AwesomeFreak Donating Member (23 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 11:56 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. You conveniently ommit that Hil slammed WHITE Eisenhower did nothing for civil rights
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 11:57 PM by AwesomeFreak
Eisenhower wasn't exactly Latino or black. He was white.
But Hillary bashing a white president would not fit the narrative.

She said it in the same paragraph where she noted Johnson's passing the civil rights act.

I would point to the fact that that Dr. King's dream began to be realized when President Johnson passed the Civil Rights Act of 1964, when he was able to get through Congress something that President Kennedy was hopeful to do, the President before had not even tried, but it took a president to get it done. That dream became a reality, the power of that dream became a real in people's lives because we had a president who said we are going to do it, and actually got it accomplished."


Some, and you know who I mean by some, have taken selective parts of her words to invent a nonexistent racial divide.
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CoffeeCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 12:23 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. With all due respect, you are missing the entire point...
Look at Hillary's comment. She is making the point that Dr. King's dream was realized because of the
efforts of hardworking President Johnson. Look at her words, "It took a president to get it done".

and, then she says this, "That dream became a reality, the power of that dream became real in people's lives because
we had a president who said we are going to do it and actually got it accomplished".

You are missing the entire point that Hillary was making--which was--that it takes WORK and the grit of a politician to
get the job done.

Perhaps you are forgetting the context of these arguments.

Prior to Hillary making that remark, she was all over Obama about his "speeches". She was suggesting, quite
frequently, that you "must have more than a good speech" to get elected. She constantly made the point
that it took experience and grit to make REAL change...not just speeches and hope.

After all of those comments, she stated the you provided. I actually have no problem with the philosophy in her
comment. It does take politicians as well as the leaders and inspirational speakers to enact change.

The entire problem...is that her comment diminished MLK's role in the civil rights movement--as she tried
to make the political point that it took an experienced politician to accomplish King's dream.

No one EVER, has diminished King's role in the civil rights movement--by reminding everyone that it was
a President who made it happen.

I don't think Hillary is a racist. I do think she purposely made that incendiary comment to incite people and
to spark a firestorm in the media--which would position race issues to the forefront.

And...that's exactly what happened.

That was intentional. It was a campaign strategy.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 12:00 AM
Response to Original message
6. Ass backwards as always - Obama played the race card because it looks like it will work to prevent a
first round win by Hillary, and on the second round Edwards swings to Obama and Obama is crowned.

Hillary must win on the first round - and by winning big in SC via the race card he enters 2/5 with the momentum to stop any large victories by her.

Unless Edwards drops out, the race card via pretend hurt caused by Hillary "surrogates" was brilliant.
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comradebillyboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 12:09 AM
Response to Original message
7. I hate to agree with Dick Morris because he is so often wrong
but I think he makes a pretty good case in this article. Still as a Hillary supporter, I am real nervous when Morris picks her to win given his shitty track record in the past.
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