Reply #12: Oh, I'm not claiming you'll vote for Obama in the primary.

[BzaDem]

I doubt Obama has much to worry about in the primary (since his support among liberal Democrats beats any Democratic president going back 50 years), but I'm not claiming you'll support him in the primary. You and others might hold him to 80% or so.

But in the general election, most people who claim they won't vote for Obama will actually vote for Obama.

For the remaining few who don't, the pain they will suffer in the ensuing years of the next Republican presidency (whenever that is) will cause them to run to the polls to vote for Ben Nelson in the following election (if he's the nominee).

Someone could claim otherwise, but their claim wouldn't change their actual behavior. If someone were to tell you that they will always happily touch a hot stove when it is on, you wouldn't believe them -- humans have generally evolved to be rational (regardless of what they say on a message board). Touching such a stove once is usually enough to prevent it from happening again (what they claim on a message board notwithstanding).