Reply #38: Controversy re the polls."...Abromowitz has challenged basically all of the 'likely voter' scenarios

[tiptoe]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x481850

The Polls are showing terrible results for the Democrats.

What has gone unreported is that there is a very significant controversy in the polling community about the polls this year.

The controversy concerns who is going to show up to vote and who is a "likely voter".

Generic and race specific polls continue to show Democrats with wide margins with 'registered voters' but close or behind with 'likely voters".

For example Sharon Angle is shown as winning in Nevada with only 32% of 'registered voters' which seems unlikely.

The normally polite fraternity of pollsters has become a donnybrook as polling experts are taking off the gloves and questiioning the premise that these polls are based on. Here is the latest offering from the respected Pollster.com editor

- more at link -