Reply #12: From the BP site -

[truedelphi]

Please be aware, this is a live stream and may freeze or be unavailable from time to time.

Throughout the extended top kill procedure – which may take up to two days to complete - very significant changes in the appearance of the flows at the seabed may be expected. These will not provide a reliable indicator of the overall progress, or success or failure, of the top kill operation as a whole. BP will report on the progress of the operation as appropriate and on its outcome when complete.

I don't know if eyeballing this can help us know what is happening. I think we just have to wait it out.

I don't trust BP very much, but I do think these fluctuations are just that, fluctuations and we cannot tell until time has passed if their fix is a fix or not.