You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer
supported by the Administrators.
Visit
The New DU.
Electoral Votes in the South, and why Edwards has advantage...
[View All]
Blackhatjack
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Sun May-06-07 11:19 AM
Original message |
Electoral Votes in the South, and why Edwards has advantage... |
|
While it is possible for a Democrat to win the General Election without winning the South, the numbers clearly show that a Democratic win in Nov 2008 would be more likely if the Democratic Nominee can compete or win the Southern states. IMHO Edwards can do this and that makes him more electible than the other Democratic candidates.
Here are the numbers:
Electoral Votes in the South Up For Grabs... Alabama 9 Arkansas 6 Georgia 15 Louisiana 9 Miss 6 N. Car 15 S. Car 8 Tenn 11
Total 79
Total Number Needed to Elect 270 out of 538
A Non-Edwards Dem Candidate Needs 270 out of 459 = 59% of Non-South Electoral Votes to win
IF Edwards competes evenly in the South He needs 270 of 538 = 50% of Non-South Electoral Votes
If Edwards wins the South, he needs 191 (270 - 79) = 191 of 459(41.6%) of Non-South votes
This is why Edwards is the most electible candidate we can nominate.
|
Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators
Important Notices: By participating on this discussion
board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules
page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the
opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent
the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.