Arkansas Senate Primary Moves From 'Leans Lincoln' To 'Toss up' !

[BlooInBloo]

$5 more to Halter from me! woot!

http://tolbertreport.com/2010/04/27/arelectionline-ratings-change-arsen-democrat-primary-toss-up/

The Arkansas Election Line – a joint project of Talk Business with Roby Brock and Blake’s Think Tank with Blake Rutherford – is making its first ratings changes of the 2010 election cycle based on the recent developments within the U.S. Senate primaries.

In the Democratic Primary, we are moving the rating from “Leans Lincoln” to “Toss Up.” Two major developments have contributed to this ratings change. First, with a third candidate D.C. Morrison pulling in support of around ten percent, it is more than likely that this race will go to a run off election in June. In order to avoid this, Sen. Blanche Lincoln or LG Bill Halter would have to win by a wider margin than Morrison receives in the May primary. And if this election does in fact go to a June runoff, it is anyone’s to win but probably favors Halter.

Second, the debate performance of Halter over the weekend along with his overall campaign strategy is likely to cause the race to continue to narrow going into the primary only three weeks away. With as many as one in four voters undecided in the latest poll, an effective message this late in the race matters. If Halter continues to have as good a performance over these last three weeks as he has had this past week, it is quite possible he will catch her by May 18.