Reply #19: Thanks for the insight

[Turborama]

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/election_2010/8633655.stm">According to the BBC the Lib Dems continue to be on the rise in YouGov polls:

The YouGov survey for the Sun suggested the Lib Dems were up three percentage points from Tuesday on 34%. The Tories were down two to 31% and Labour fell one to 26%.

What percentage do the Lib Dems have to reach before they start looking like a possible majority? Judging by what you said above, would I be right in thinking that if they gain 2 more points and the Cons drop a couple then we could be looking at a possible across the board Lib Dem victory?


BTW did you see this Guardian article about the anti-Clegg push polling that's been going on? It's got Luntz' fingerprints all over it...

Mystery YouGov poll looks for Nick Clegg's weaknesses

Telephone survey for unnamed client has brought objections from Liberal Democrats about loaded questions

Polly Curtis, Whitehall correspondent

One of the biggest political pollsters is conducting a survey of voters to establish the best lines of attack on the Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg in the wake of his meteoric rise since last week's leadership debate.

YouGov, which is running a daily opinion poll for the Sun, has been asking voters what would be most likely to put them off voting for the Liberal Democrats.

The poll was commissioned privately and YouGov has refused to confirm the identity of its client. But it did confirm that it polls for the Labour party, the Conservatives and the Scottish National party.

One of the surveys being connducted by telephone as recently as Sunday, and subsequently leaked on the internet, asked 17 questions about the Liberal Democrats and asked people to rate a series of statements according to how likely they were to affect their voting intentions.

One statement read: "Nick Clegg says the other parties are to blame for the MP scandals, he has taken money from a criminal on the run, many of his MPs have been found guilty of breaking the rules and his own party issued guidance on how to fiddle the expenses system."

Continues: http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2010/apr/19/yougov-survey-nick-clegg-attack