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CT Primary analysis Lamont victory "widespread" carried 7/8 counties... [View All]

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:08 PM
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CT Primary analysis Lamont victory "widespread" carried 7/8 counties...
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"Although Ned Lamont's 52-48 percent win in last night's Connecticut primary was closer than some recent polls had suggested, his victory was widespread. Lamont carried seven of Connecticut's eight counties, and 125 of the 169 municipalities. Lamont carried both of Connecticut's media markets, doing slightly better in the New York market, where he got 52.5% of the vote, than he did in the Hartford/New Haven market, where he got 51.6%.

Following are some of the characteristics that correlate with support for Lamont:
Rural Areas
Areas with a high housing value
Areas with a higher percentage of voters with college or graduate degrees.
Areas with a high-percentage of owner-occupied housing
Areas with a high percentage of married couples
Areas with a high percentage of children in private schools
Areas with low turnover in housing
Areas with high percentage of white collar occupations
Areas where many votrers have long commute times
Areas with high concentration of veterans

Characteristics that correlated with support for Lieberman:
Urban areas
high numbers of single women
areas with high numbers of unmarried partners, including same-sex partners
Areas with high percentage of renter occupied housing
areas with high property tax burden
areas with high percentage of voters in blue collar occupations
areas with a high percentage of voters in service sector occupations
areas with a high concentration of people receiving Social Security
Areas with high concentrations of individuals currently serving in the armed forces.

Interestingly, it seems that Lieberman won the old, traditional democratic constituencies: urbanites, single women, unmarried couples, gays, blue collar/service industry while Lamont did well among more affluent, suburbanites, home dwellers and well educated voters.

report can be accessed on daily kos:

www.dailykos.com

p.s.
Kos said that half the interviews are completed by Rasmussen on how the general election would look and he says that the rest should be completed tonight, but so far it shows a very tight race between Lamont and Lieberman going into the general election.
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