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Reply #: Not the poll, the article, or the OP summary of it. [View All]

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jobycom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-03-06 12:43 PM
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Not the poll, the article, or the OP summary of it.
It claims Giuliani and McCain would beat her. McCain is tied with her, leading by 2 points in a poll statistically valid only to within 3.5% (according to the poll). SO the poll shows her trailing only to Giuliani.

And I'd call BS to the implication of the article and OP, that she would have trouble in New York. The poll doesn't show how any other candidate would compare to Giuliani, other than Republicans in the Repub primary. The headline of the OP implies that Hillary might not be the best candidate to beat Giuliani in New York, but the poll shows nothing of the sort--doesn't even address the question.

I'd also question the method of the poll. A poll with a string of questions on a series of theoretical matchups has its own inherent bias, often depending on the order of the questions, since order of candidates named, or matchups of candidates, affect the way people respond. A simple head-to-head question gives a better indication of true voter opinion. It's like a bracket--people make one choice, and tend to stick with their early choice even as circumstances change.

So, I think the slant of the OP title is misleading, the poll analysis is misleading, and the poll itself is questionable.

But "bullshit" says roughly the same thing, and takes less time to type.
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