Reply #9: Only one really bad assumption

[Dr Ron]

Most likely he gives Kerry no chance because of how rare it has been for candidates to get a second shot, but we all know reasons why this isn't necessarily true for 2008.

Add Kerry after Hilary and the Democratic list is ok. I'm not sure about the exact ranking for lower spots, but this far such predictions don't mean much anyways. While I'd pick Hilary 1st and Kerry second, much can change to affect either's chances.

The Republican list isn't bad, although I'm surprised Romney is so high. I agree with McCain and Allen as 1st and 2nd, also considering that much can change there. The biggest question with McCain is whether he can get the support of the far right, and if not whether they can stop him with all the favorable publicity he has been getting. I also wonder if his will face the same problem as Dean--being considered a straight shooter by the press. One not-so-straight comment and the press can totally turn on such candidates.