How Al Gore May Still Become President (DKos Diary)

[lildreamer316]

by NYPopulist
Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 11:52:14 PM PST
Based on the title of the diary, I'm sure many of you are thinking, "Yeah, yeah, another Gore supporter who has yet to face reality and concede he isn't running." Well not quite; in fact, I've moved on and have since come to support Obama (though I very much like Edwards). That all being said, however, it seems as though it is becoming more and more likely that Al Gore may still become the Democratic nominee come August 2008. But how can that be, you ask? Follow me below the fold for an explanation.


The simple fact remains that a majority of delegates must be received in order to win the party nomination. Thus, Hillary, Obama, or Edwards must receive at least 2209 of the 4372 delegates. What does that have anything to do with Gore you might ask? Well, consider this: a three-way race emerges and none of the three major candidates obtain a majority of delegates. That, of course, would result in a brokered convention, an idea that until recently I had thought was little more than a political scientist's fantasy.

I'll be honest: I thought anything less than an outright Edwards win in Iowa would virtually knock him out of the race. Seemingly, though, I was wrong. On the contrary, Edwards seems to be enjoying quite a bounce from his 2nd place finish - he has tacked on nine points to his national numbers over the past week. Likewise, he's creeping up to 20% in recent New Hampshire polls. In short, if Edwards has a better-than-expected showing in New Hampshire, this will be a three-person race. Also, as Chris Bowers noted earlier today, Clinton will have a significant share of the delegate count regardless of how she does in the early states, especially with her automatic win in Michigan later this month. Finally, although they will not accumulate a significant number of delegates, Richardson and Kucinich will accumulate some votes at the convention, especially if they hang around through February 5

More at link...

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/7/21724/47161