The Exit Poll Quiz by TruthIsAll

[TruthIsAll]

1.In 2000, the networks, based on exit polls, called Florida for Gore early. But they later decided to call it for Bush.
Which is FALSE?
a) They were right when they called it for Gore.
b) They were right when they called it for Bush.
c) They were unaware that in mostly minority democratic precincts, 65,000 punched card under-votes (hanging chads) and 110,000 punched card over-votes (double and triple–punched) were not going to be counted.

2. In the last three German national elections, exit polls have been accurate to within
a) 3%
b) 2%
c) 1%
d) 0.1%

3. It has been said that the reason 2004 exit polls were off is that:
a) Republicans were ashamed to say they voted for Bush.
b) Democrats were anxious to vote for Kerry.
c) Women voted earlier than men.
d) Republicans waited to vote late in the day because it was raining in Ohio.
e) The long lines were actually Republicans who were very motivated to vote for Bush.
f) all of the above

4) The odds that 16 out of 51 states would exceed the Exit Poll margin of error and all move in favor of Bush is
a) 1 out of 187 million
b) 1 out of 250 million
c) 1 out of 4.5 billion
d) 1 out of 200 trillion

5) It's understandable that the media would claim the exit polls were off when you consider that
a) Exit Poll Pro Mitofsky has only been at it for 25 years.
b) Exit polls have a history of being very inaccurate.
c) They were all showing a solid win for Kerry.

6) Ignoring the Margin of Error, what are the odds that 41 out of 51 states would deviate by chance from the exit polls in favor of Bush in the vote tallies.
a) 1 in 1,000
b) 1 in 100,000
c) 1 in 1,000,000
d) 1 in 1,700,000

7) Bush absolutely needed to carry Florida AND Ohio to win the election. Considering that he was trailing Kerry in the exit polls in each state, the odds that he would win both is:
a) 1 out of 50
b) 1 out of 100
c) 1 out of 666
d) 1 out of 1000

8) Sixteen out of 51 states deviated by more than the Margin of Error in favor of Bush, and NONE to Kerry. This is most definitely
a) Magnificent Coincidence
b) Divine Intervention
c) Conspiracy
d) Bush Luck

9) Exit polls have proved to be extremely accurate since 1952 when the networks first started to use them to predict state elections.
They have always been correct except for
a) 1976, when Carter ran.
b) 1992, when Clinton ran.
c) 2000, when Bush ran.
d) 2004, when Bush ran.
Hint: there is more than one answer to the above.

10) Which statement is true?
a) Exit polls are used to prevent voting fraud.
b) Actual votes are used to prevent exit poll fraud.
c) Exit polls are really worthless, but Mitofsky needs a job.