Reply #90: TIA: Where did Bush find 20 million new votes?

[caruso]

Now, since you believe that 15% of Gore voters defected to Bush,
can you also tell us where Bush found 20 million new votes?

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/TruthIsAllFAQResponse.htm#_Where_did_Bush

In other words, provide some rationale.
It has to be more than just the NES study.

FACTS:
There were 62.0mm recorded Bush votes in 2004

There were 45.8mm returning Bush2000 voters of whom approximately 4mm voted for Kerry, so he started with 41.8mm:

.......Voted2k - 3.5% died - 5% did not vote - 10% voted for Kerry
41.8mm = 50.5 -1.7 -3.0 - 4

Bush needed 62-42 = 20 million new votes to get to 62.
Where did he get them from?

Could you break down the major voter blocs which contributed to the 20 million increase in Bush votes from 2000?

First-time voters?
2004 Voters who did not vote in 2000?
Nader 2000 voters?

Men?
Women?

Democrats?
Republicans?
Independents?

Moderates?
Liberals?
Conservatives?

Union members?

Blacks?
Hispanics?
Asians?

Protestants?
Catholics?
Jews?

HS dropouts?
HS grads?
College grads?
Post Grads?

Income Under $75k?
Income Over $75k?

Anti-war?
Christian fundamentalists?

The 48.5% who approved?