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Reply #103: how "concentrated" could the discrepancies have been? [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-22-05 08:04 AM
Response to Reply #101
103. how "concentrated" could the discrepancies have been?
I don't know what discrepancies you have in mind, since you don't say. The late pre-election polls all showed a very tight race; the exit poll (Best Geo) indicated that Kerry was up by 15 points; the official returns put Kerry up I think 1.4. If Kerry actually won New Hampshire by close to 15, then the fraud hardly could have been very subtle.

You might try this for yourself with a spreadsheet: see if you can come up with a way to steal 13+ percentage points on the margin in such a way that any halfway plausible method of identifying outliers bats zero for eleven, bearing in mind that returns from election to election are generally correlated at well over 0.9. If you succeed, you will actually have advanced the investigation.

For me, simply postulating that voting machine reps, or even complicit election officials, might have destroyed or created or altered gobs of op-scan ballots is... well, tautologically true, but unhelpful. According to my info, NH's op-scan is precinct-based, so it takes massive complicity to achieve massive fraud -- and it flies in the face of all pre-election indications.
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