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Reply #49: I am happy to see that Mitofsky's scatter plot does NOT support RBV. [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform

kiwi_expat

(526 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue May-17-05 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #48

49. I am happy to see that Mitofsky's scatter plot does NOT support RBV.

:-)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369886

If the "Reluctant Bush Voter" hypothesis were correct, I would expect to see the Evangelical Christian "lapsed-voters" skew the "WPE" toward the Bible-belt Bush strongholds. Instead, the regression line drawn through the data shows a "modest upward slope" toward the Kerry strongholds.

The scatter plot does support my contention that some really bad sampling occurred in the exit poll. But the really bad sampling seems to have affected Bush and Kerry equally.

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