NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE SUMMARY STATISTICS
2-Nov 2-Nov 3-Nov 3-Nov
Time 4:00pm 7:33pm 12:22am 1:25pm
Respondents 8349 11027 13047 13660
Kerry precentages
Votes in millions
CATEGORY Pct Vote Pct Vote Pct Vote Pct Vote
GENDER 50.48 61.72 50.78 62.08 50.78 62.08 47.78 58.42
REGION 50.61 61.88 50.84 62.16 50.84 62.16 8.24 58.98
PARTYID 50.62 61.89 50.24 61.42 50.69 61.97 47.89 58.55
IDEOLOGY 50.30 61.50 50.07 61.22 49.85 60.95 47.25 57.77
VOTED 2000 51.01 62.36 50.90 62.23 51.41 62.85 48.48 59.27
DECIDED 51.18 62.57 51.42 62.87 51.23 62.63 47.50 58.07
EDUCATION 50.32 61.52 50.34 61.55 50.21 61.39 47.82 58.46
RACE 50.79 62.10 51.04 62.40 50.94 62.28 47.81 58.45
AGE 50.44 61.67 50.53 61.78 50.53 61.78 47.96 58.64
INCOME 51.45 62.90 51.01 62.36 51.01 62.36 48.13 58.84
RELIGION 50.82 62.13 50.85 62.17 50.85 62.17 47.99 58.67
MILITARY 50.38 61.59 51.20 62.60 51.20 62.60 48.38 59.15
AVERAGE 50.70 61.99 50.77 62.07 50.80 62.10 47.94 58.61
KERRY NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE DETAIL
4:00pm 7:33pm 12:22am 1:25pm 4:00pm 7:33pm 12:22am 1:25pm
8349 11027 13047 13660 8349 11027 13047 13660
Category Weighting Kerry Percentage
GENDER
Male 42 46 46 46 47 47 47 44
Female 58 54 54 54 53 54 54 51
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.48 50.78 50.78 47.78
VOTE (mm) 61.72 62.08 62.08 58.42
REGION
East 23 22 22 22 58 58 58 56
Midwest 25 26 26 26 50 50 50 48
South 31 31 31 32 44 45 45 42
West 21 21 21 20 53 53 53 50
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.61 50.84 50.84 48.24
VOTE (mm) 61.88 62.16 62.16 58.98
PARTY ID
Democrat 39 38 38 37 90 90 90 89
Republican 36 36 35 37 7 7 7 6
Independent 25 26 27 26 52 52 52 49
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.62 50.24 50.69 47.89
VOTE (mm) 61.89 61.42 61.97 58.55
IDEOLOGY
Liberal 22 22 22 21 86 87 86 85
Moderate 45 45 45 45 58 57 57 54
Conservative 33 33 33 34 16 16 16 15
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.3 50.07 49.85 47.25
VOTE (mm) 61.50 61.22 60.95 57.77
VOTED IN 2000
NoVote 15 17 17 17 62 59 57 54
Gore 39 38 39 37 91 91 91 90
Bush 42 41 41 43 9 9 10 9
Other 4 4 3 3 61 65 71 71
PCT 100 100 100 100 51.01 50.9 51.41 48.48
VOTE (mm) 62.36 62.23 62.85 59.27
WHEN DECIDED
Today 6 6 6 5 52 54 53 52
Last3Days 3 3 3 4 50 54 53 55
Last Week 2 2 2 2 48 48 48 48
Last Month 10 10 10 10 61 61 60 54
Before 79 79 79 79 50 50 50 46
PCT 100 100 100 100 51.18 51.42 51.23 47.5
VOTE (mm) 62.57 62.87 62.63 58.07
EDUCATION
NoHS 4 4 4 4 50 52 52 50
H.S. 22 22 22 22 50 51 51 47
College 30 31 31 32 48 47 47 46
Grad 26 26 26 26 48 49 48 46
PostGrad 18 17 17 16 58 58 58 55
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.32 50.34 50.21 47.82
VOTE (mm) 61.52 61.55 61.39 58.46
RACE
WM 33 36 36 36 40 41 41 37
WF 44 41 41 41 47 47 47 44
NWM 10 10 10 10 69 70 69 67
NWF 13 13 13 13 77 77 77 75
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.79 51.04 50.94 47.81
VOTE (mm) 62.10 62.40 62.28 58.45
AGE
18-29 15 17 17 17 56 56 56 54
30-44 27 27 27 29 48 49 49 46
45-59 31 30 30 30 52 51 51 48
60+ 27 26 26 24 48 48 48 46
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.44 50.53 50.53 47.96
VOTE (mm) 61.67 61.78 61.78 58.64
INCOME
0-$15K 9 9 9 8 68 66 66 63
$15-30 15 15 15 15 59 59 59 57
$30-50 22 22 22 22 53 52 52 50
$50-75 22 23 23 23 46 45 45 43
$75-100 14 13 13 14 49 49 49 45
$100-150 11 11 11 11 44 45 45 42
$150-200 4 4 4 4 45 47 47 42
$200+ 3 3 3 3 40 41 41 35
PCT 100 100 100 100 51.45 51.01 51.01 48.13
VOTE (mm) 62.90 62.36 62.36 58.84
RELIGION
Protestant 53 53 53 53 43 43 43 40
Catholic 27 27 27 27 50 50 50 47
Jewish 3 3 3 3 77 77 77 74
Other 7 7 7 7 76 75 75 74
None 10 10 10 10 69 70 70 67
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.82 50.85 50.85 47.99
VOTE (mm) 62.13 62.17 62.17 58.67
MILITARY
InMilitary 18 18 18 18 43 43 43 41
NoMilitary 82 82 82 82 52 53 53 50
PCT 100 100 100 100 50.38 51.2 51.2 48.38
VOTE (mm) 61.59 62.60 62.60 59.15
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