FL Optiscans vs. Touchscreens:Prob of 9.03% discrepancy-1 in 12.7 trillion

[TruthIsAll]

What is the probability that...

Kerry would win 51.30%-47.77% in Florida counties(3.864 mm
votes) which used touch screen computers, but lose by
42.27%-57.03% in counties where Optical scanners (3.429mm
votes) were used?

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/electionmodel_files/Florida2000Vote_26173_image001.png

In other words, what is the probability that Kerry's
TouchScreen vote (51.30%) would exceed his total vote (47.06%)
 by 4.24% due to chance alone?

Keep in mind that registration statistics are consistent
across Touchscreen and Optiscan counties, so we are NOT
comparing apples and oranges. 

Total FL counties registration by voting machine:
TouchScreen:40.89% Dem vs. 36.77% Repub.
OptiScan:   41.92% Dem vs. 38.98% Repub.

Reg   = registered voters (in millions)
DemR  = registered Democrats (%)
RepR  = registered Republicans (%)
DiffR = Demr - RepR

Votes = Total votes (millions)
DemV  = Kerry votes
RepV  = Bush votes

Reg	DemR	RepR	DiffR	Votes	DemV	RepV
Touchscreen	
5.576	40.89%	36.77%	4.12%	3.864	51.30%	47.77%

Optiscan
4.725	41.92%	38.98%	2.94%	3.420	42.27%	57.03%

Total	
10.301	41.37%	37.79%	3.58%	7.284	47.06%	52.12%
							
Assume a 1.0% Margin of error (extremely conservative):

Prob	= NORMDIST(0.513,0.4706,0.01/1.96,FALSE)

Prob	 = 7.877E-14, less than 1 in 12.7 Trillion.