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From Selection 2000 to 2004 (NEP): Voted, Died, Reborn, Did Not Vote [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-01-05 09:33 PM
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From Selection 2000 to 2004 (NEP): Voted, Died, Reborn, Did Not Vote
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Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 09:46 PM by TruthIsAll
								
	Total	Pct 	3.50%	Alive	Max			
2000	Vote	2004	Died	2004	Weight			
Bush	50.456	41.27%	1.766	48.690	39.8%			
Gore	50.999	41.71%	1.785	49.214	40.3%			

Based on the annual U.S. death rate(8.7 per thousand):
1.766 million Bush 2000 voters died.
1.785 million Gore 2000 voters died.

According to the Preliminary Exit Poll (13047):								
	Weight	Voted						
Bush	41%	50.127						
Gore	39%	47.681						
								
50.127 mil. Bush 2000 voters turned out (99.35%) 
Impossible (too high), since 1.766 mil died.			

47.681 mil Gore voters turned out (93.49%)
Possible, but unlikely (too low).			

0.329	mil Bush voters died (0.65%)
Impossible (too high), since 1.766 mil died.			

1.785	mil Gore voters died (3.50%)
Best estimate			

1.533	mil Gore voters stayed home (3.01%)
Unlikely (too high)			
................................................								
								
According to the Final Exit Poll (13660):								
	Weight	Voted						
Bush	43%	52.57						
Gore	37%	45.24						

52.572 mil. Bush 2000 voters turned out (104.19%)
Impossible (too high), since only 50.456 mil. voted.

2.116	mil Bush voters were reincarnated (4.19%) 
All came to vote. Sure. I see dead people.
						
45.236 mil Gore voters turned out (88.70%)
Possible, but unlikely (too low).	

1.785	mil Gore voters died (3.50%)
Best estimate.

3.978	mil Gore voters stayed home (7.80%)
Unlikely (too high)	
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