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Reply #177: DON"T FORGET: Kerry-Bush vote-switching shown to be 6.15% in this study. [View All]

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L. Coyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-01-07 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #175
177. DON"T FORGET: Kerry-Bush vote-switching shown to be 6.15% in this study.
And the list goes on. From the article:
How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes
http://jqjacobs.net/politics/ohio.html

" In a subset of 166,953 votes, one of every 34 Ohio voters, the Kerry-Bush margin
shifts 6.15% when the population is sorted by outcomes of wrong-precinct voting."

=====================
"In 2004, Ohio's failure to replace punch card voting with improved systems is just one of many issues raised with regard to the Ohio 2004 Presidential election. Other Ohio fairness, fraud, and irregularity issues include politization of process, voter registration fraud, voter suppression including racial discrimination, unfair voting machine distribution, the exit poll inaccuracy, electronic voting security, paperless e-voting, e-vote flipping, the high percentage of and unequal distribution of undervotes, uncounted provisional ballots, vote count secrecy, and recount crimes and irregularities."

ADD to you list this:

" I define "vote-switching" as major candidate cross-voting. One major candidate cross-vote changes the election margin by two votes; as one major candidate loses a vote the other gains the cross-vote. Because impact on results varies according to how cross-votes are counted, vote-switching is distinguished from cross-voting. Vote-switching only occurrs when and where the two major candidates are collocated in the same ballot order position.

My analysis distinguished cross-vote probability outcomes. Cross-voting, when unequal, alters election results and therefore presents opportunities to manipulate election results. And vote-switching doubles the impact of cross-voting. Influencing where and how much cross-voting occurs, and especially what percentage of cross-votes are switched-votes, dramatically changes the results of an election, if not the outcome. Analysis of the impact of wrong-precinct voting reveals election manipulations. Descriptive statistics defines the overall impact. The location examples below demonstrate the variable degree of impact."

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