Reply #62: Posted on Dkos

[Febble]

Here:

http://www.dailykos.com/comments/2005/6/22/183230/208/281#281

together with a brief response:

I am happy to agree with TIA that his proof has not been, and should not be described as "incontrovertible". Sadly, no proof of anything in the exit poll debate is likely to be incontrovertible. I remain unconvinced that his argument takes us beyond "reasonable doubt".

The essential difference between us (and probably between "fraudsters" and "naysayers") probably boils down to those who find it plausible that:

1) Gore voters lied or forgot who they voted for in 2000 when they said they voted for Bush
2) Kerry voters were more apt to respond to the exit pollsters, by a 1.12/1 ratio over Bush voters.

and those who do not. I find it plausible, but then I am a behavioural scientist.

And an extra, for DU:

None of the above means that I believe your electoral system is fair, secure or uncorrupted. I think it is none of these things. Whether "Kerry won" or not, the system needs fixing.

I wish you all well.

(and can I leave you with one of the most inspiring diaries I ever read on DKos, just in case you think we are all "naysayers":

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2004/12/15/9734/4841