Reply #22: A question for all readers of this thread...

[TruthIsAll]

If the touchscreen vote seems reasonable with Kerry leading by
51-47%, and the optiscan has Bush way ahead 57-42%, don't you
agree that the optiscan counties are most likely the locations
where manipulation of the vote count occurred? This is not to
say that the T/S counties were clean, but the actuals are much
more believable.  

The 13047 exit poll, which we believe is correct, is very
close to the actual results. If that is the case, why should
the optiscans be so far off, since the Party ID weights are
very similar: 

OptiScan:    Dem 42/Rep 39%
Touchscreen: Dem 41/Rep 37%

The actuals: Bush won by 368,000
The numbers: Kerry won by 221,000
That's a 589,000 turnaround, about 7% of the total 7.3mm
votes. 


13047	Touchscreen: 3.864mm votes		OPTISCAN 3.420mm votes	

PARTY ID	
        Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader		Mix	Bush	Kerry	Nader
Dem	40.89%	9%	90%	1%	Dem	41.92%	9%	90%	1%
Rep	36.77%	92%	7%	1%	Rep	38.98%	92%	7%	1%
Ind	22.33%	44%	52%	4%	Ind	19.10%	44%	52%	4%
							
Calculated	
Pct	100%	47.34%	50.99%	1.67%	Pct	100%	48.04%	50.39%	1.57%
Vote	3.864	1.829	1.970	0.065	Vote	3.420	1.643	1.723	0.054

Actual
Pct	100%	47.77%	51.30%	0.925%	Act%	100%	57.03% 42.27%	0.70%
Vote	3.864	1.846	1.982	0.036	Act	3.420	1.950	1.446	.024