Reply #16: The MOE is 1% only if the sample was actually a random, representative...

[Brotherjohn]

... sample. What you have in fact done is actually to cast doubt on THAT.

Yes, based on that assumption, you're talking astronomically high odds for the numbers to work.

The US Count Votes study released yesterday said as much. Which is why they came to the following conclusion: "Two alternatives remain. Either something was wrong with the exit polling, or something was wrong with the vote count."

That something is wrong with one does not necessarily mean something was wrong with the other, EVEN if they yield the same total votes for Bush and Kerry.

Although the proven exit-polling problems alone merit an investigation of the election.