Reply #29: Everything you say is true, but the key is the change from 41 to 43%

[TruthIsAll]

It's the 2% change in the obviously wrong direction to 43% which raises the major flag. The 41% is probably too high as well - but by how much?

The 1% drop in Gore voters from 38 to 37% is another flag, in that it makes the Kerry numbers lower as well in the weighted average.

So we have a few smoking guns here:
1- The nitial 41% is itself suspect and may be 1+ lower.
2-The initial 41%-38% spread is suspect, since Gore won more votes.
3-The move from 41 to 43% is totally without justification.

It would be interesting to calculate the percentage of voters who have passed on since 2000. An initial approximation would be the total percentage of deaths for individuals of voting age. But even this would not account for all those who failed to return to vote.

Its getting curiouser and curiouser.