Reply #12: One very important point must be made here.

[TruthIsAll]

You say:

"If TruthIsAll can show the kind of discrepancy that I have outlined above in the face of historical reliability of the exit polls, then I will agree that there is cause for further investigation".

Which polls are you talking about?

The preliminary exit polls, which are suppressed from public view?
Or the final poll, which is re-weighted to match the recorded votes?

If you are not familiar with the following jewel of a factoid gleaned from the preliminary and final national exit poll, then consider this:

In the 2004 PRELIMINARY exit poll of 13047, 41% of respondents said they voted for Bush in 2000. Since 41% of the 122 million voters is 50 million, then this is just .50 million (or 1%) below Bush's actual 2000 total of 505.5 million votes. This is entirely possible, because we know that there were a certain number of Bush 2000 voters who decided NOT to vote for him in 2004. Could that number be close to the .5 million difference?

In the FINAL exit poll of 13660, which was massaged to "match" the recorded vote, 43% of respondents said that they voted for Bush in 2000. THAT IS CLEARLY IMPOSSIBLE, since 43% of 122 million is 52.5 million (4% above the actual Bush vote).

THE ONLY WAY THEY COULD PAD THE 2004 BUSH VOTE WAS TO PAD THE 2000 BUSH VOTE. BUT THAT IS A LOGICAL ABSURDITY.
SO WHAT ARE WE LEFT WITH?

Why would anyone want to change an absolutely plausible weighting factor, which produces a result KNOWN TO BE ACCURATE TO WITHIN 1% AT MINIMUM AND PERHAPS EVEN LOWER, to a weighting factor which is KNOWN TO BE ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE, since it produces a value KNOWN TO BE 4% OVER THE ACTUAL RECORDED 2000 BUSH VOTE?

DOES THAT MAKE SENSE TO YOU?

SO IS THIS PROOF THAT THE FINAL EXIT POLL OF 13660 WAS WRONG
AND THE PRELIMINARY POLL OF 13047 WAS PROBABLY VERY CLOSE TO WHAT REALLY HAPPENED?

DO YOU AGREE THAT THIS IS PROOF?
IF NOT, WHY NOT?

THE ONLY WAY THEY COULD PAD THE 2004 BUSH VOTE WAS TO PAD THE 2000 BUSH VOTE. BUT THAT IS A LOGICAL ABSURDITY.

SO WHAT ARE WE LEFT WITH?

THAT IS NOT THE ONLY NUMERICAL ANOMALY. THERE ARE LITERALLY SCORES OF OTHERS. BUT LET'S START WITH THAT ONE.

NOW DO YOU AGREE THAT THE EARLY EXIT POLL OFFERS POWERFUL CIRCUMSTANTIAL EVIDENCE THAT FRAUD OCCURRED IN BOTH THE VOTE COUNT AND IN THE MANIPULATION OF THE PRELIMINARY EXIT POLL TO VALIDATE THE IMPOSSIBLE?

ANY COMMENTS?