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The New DU. Reply #23: Prelim Exit Poll 2000 Bush voter weight (41%) may have been exactly right
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TruthIsAll
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Tue Mar-15-05 05:13 PM
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| 23. Prelim Exit Poll 2000 Bush voter weight (41%) may have been exactly right |
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Edited on Tue Mar-15-05 05:17 PM by TruthIsAll
The 41% weighting produced a value of 50.0 million for the Bush 2000 vote that was lower from the actual by only .50 million. Yet it may very well have been accurate if in fact 1/2 million fewer 2000 Bush voters voted for him in 2004.
On the other hand, we KNOW that the Final Exit Poll 43% weight is definitely incorrect, because Bush only got 50.5 million votes - and the weighting factor applied to the 122 million votes in 2004 produced a 52.5 million number.
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