Reply #22: False premise: A or B

[PaganPreacher]

You created a false dichotomy, TIA.

The choices are not "A or B".

The totality of choices also includes:
1. Did not vote at all.
2. Did not vote for a Presidential candidate, but voted downticket.
3. Voted for a third party candidate who was listed on the ballot.
4. Wrote in a candidate.

There are also other factors:
1. People who refuse to answer, because you are asking for personal information (I would not tell your pollster a damn thing, because the details of my life are nobody's business but mine.)
2. People who lie (those who want to skew your results, because they are opposed to your efforts. All it takes is one word from The Wizard of Rove, and 60 million Americans would lie to the pollster, right?)

The only way to determine the percentage of voters accurately is to do a 100% statistical sample of voters in every state, with 0% opt-out, 0% participation by non-2004 voters, and 0% false or mistaken answers (some people have already forgotten who they voted for- if you don't believe me, go down to your local nursing home and ask the residents what they had for lunch yesterday. Those people voted.) Anything less than 100% participation creates the same guessing game that we have had since 11/02/04.

By the way, if your pollster came to my door, I'd chase him off with a shotgun. "Secret balloting" is just that....secret.


Support the right to keep and arm bears.

The Pagan Preacher
I don't turn the other cheek.