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Reply #28: semi-related question on exit polls [View All]

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pgh_dem Donating Member (584 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-25-05 04:34 PM
Response to Reply #15
28. semi-related question on exit polls
now that Washington state gov's race has been recounted, with Gregoire as the winner by 100+ (as opposed to first count where she was down 500+ votes)...does that final total square better with the exit polls? In other words, razor thin with slight edge to Gregoire? Or in proportion to up-ticket races, does the switch of 600-700 votes in her favor roughly account proportionally for a 1.3% switch (back) to Kerry from Bush?
Hope I expressed this remotely answerably...stats stuff in confusing.

Numbers from http://www.exitpollz.org
Washington Kerry Bush Exit poll
54.9% 45.1%
Declared result:
53.6% 46.4% 1.3% shift to Bush




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