Reply #85: Poll errors

[Blackbeard]

I know it's probably unpopular to suggest the election really wasn't stolen, but if you'll indulge me, I'll explain why the exit polls differ from the actual results.


1) Exit polls use a very small sample size and the actual count uses a very large sample size, in fact, it's 100%.

2) People don't have to answer exit polls. Maybe Bush voters are less likely to answer exit poll questionnaires than are Kerry voters. Think about it -- if you had just held your nose and voted for Bush, would you want to advertise that fact?

3) Exit polls are not taken at every polling place, therefore not every voter is as likely to be polled as every other. They select certain polling places that fit the demographics of "likely" voting patterns from past elections.

4) Since all previous Presidential elections were before 9/11 and Iraq, all of the previous voting patterns are pretty much out the window. Millions turned out to vote who otherwise would not have -- some to vote for Bush, some to vote against him. The point is the polling places selected for exit polls may not have accurately reflected the actual voter demographics.


That, in a nutshell, is why you can't compare exit polls with actual results and conclude that the actual count must be fraudulent. The two measurements are taken from different populations.