Reply #15: but factor in southern Democrats

[m.standridge]

and Democrats associated with Evangelism who turned out heavily to vote against gay marriage in several states.
Media has reported that African-American turnout for Bush was higher than in 2000, too.
And don't forget those pre-election polls of the last couple of days.
One thing intriguing about them, to me, is how they usually showed a back and forth race at the national level, with Bush more often having a lead (barely) than not, but with Kerry carrying Ohio and the other states necessary for him to win in the Electoral College, more often than not, too.
In many ways, it began to look to me, even before the election, that Kerry might be the first Democrat to win in the Electoral College only.
There's still that possibility.
Or, that it was very close--too close to call as to the Popular vote, but that Kerry is doing considerably better, in reality, in the Electoral College than it is looking like right now.