Reply #36: The guy you're dating needs to study statistics

[nodictators]

A properly designed national poll with 5,000 respondents would give a good estimate of how the votes split. Here, more than 13,000 voters responded to the poll. It should be highly accurate.

In fact, former President Carter uses exit polling to help verify the integrity of elections in foreign countries.

I got some of the leaked data in mid-afternoon on Election Day. It was amazingly accurate. It called both Arizona and Colorado for Bush. It said Iowa was a tie. In fact, it took Iowa 3 days to determine that Bush won the state. The only flip-flops in the claimed results were in Ohio, Florida, and New Mexico. And New Mexico had Kerry ahead of Bush by only 1 or 2 percentage points.