Reply #64: You are beating a dead horse

[jkd]

You are beating a dead horse. The numbers and the calculations are meaningless without Mitofsky's data. Sample surveys do have different results based on the quality of the data. You stated earlier that a poll is a poll. That seems to be your problem.

The pollster determines the margin of error based upon that data. Mr. Mitofsky prior to the election stated that the MOE for these state exit polls was + or - 4%. Many factors went into that determination. But we don't know what they were until Motofsky releases these considerations.

It's premature to say that the odds were 20 gazillion to 1. When we get the data and the recounts are completed then it should all fall into place.