Reply #37: Exit Poll Discrepancy Correlation to Kerry Vote and Electoral Votes

[L. Coyote]

Great Point!!

There's a pattern to the discrepancy. Forget the probabilities. The same method was used in each state, so look at the pattern. If they are all off a little, the pattern persists.

Only in "Blue States" is there a positive correlation with the number of electoral votes.
Only in "Blue States" is there a negative correlation with Kerry vote.

The greater the Kerry winning margin, the less correlation.
The higher the electoral vote prize, the higher the correlation.



Duh! Huh?