Reply #2: Electoralvote.com's assessment is based on this ARG poll.

[Lasher]

Since there have been few polls in WV, we are left to wonder if this ARG poll is a real indication of Obama's WV surge, or if earlier polls indicating otherwise are correct. Another thing is, the other polls are old, from times when Obama's national advantage was not as significant as today.

But there's just been a poll of the House race in WV-02 and it included a question about the presidential race. And here's what it said:

There is some very bright news, however. Obama is performing fairly well in the district - he trails only 48% to 41% in WV-02. The Second District is slightly more Republican than the state as a whole, so this poll, at least, would seem to indicate that an upset victory is not out of the question for Obama in West Virginia.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/11/191155/09/661/627847

This is another indication that more of our fellow West Virginians might indeed have come to their senses.