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THE SHIFT IS ON: NEW 4-DAY TREND ACROSS PA POLLS shows 1) Clinton down 2) Undecideds up 3) Obama up [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
AnarchoFreeThinker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-16-08 02:58 PM
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THE SHIFT IS ON: NEW 4-DAY TREND ACROSS PA POLLS shows 1) Clinton down 2) Undecideds up 3) Obama up
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The MOST RECENT PA polls (with all polling conducted on the 12th, 13th, 14th, and 15th) reveal an amazing shift. Each consecutive day, more PA voters have left Clinton, more have become undecided, and more have gone to Obama. This snapshot demonstrates what a shifting electorate should look like: the collective change of voters from pro-Hillary to not-Hillary/not-Obama to pro-Obama.

Disclaimer: conclusions from a meta-look like this across pollsters/methodologies is far from a sure thing.

With that caveat, here's how it looks (and these are the ONLY three PA polls we currently have for polling wholly within the 12-15th that I can locate):

12th-14: SUSA has it Clinton 54, Obama 40, Undecided 3
14th: Rasmussen has it Clinton 50 (down 4), Obama 41 (up 1), Undecided 9 (up 6)
14-15th: PPD has it Clinton 42 (down 8 more), Obama 45 (up 4 more), Undecided 13 (up another 4)

This four-day snapshot shows Clinton support moving to Undecided and to Obama. If Obama can capture only 38% of this growing batch of Undecideds as reported by PPP, he'll have a PA win wrapped.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html
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