Reply #20: Clinton is not particularly popular in the Northwest

[featherman]

The SUSA poll yesterday showed her losing to McCain in a GE matchup in both OR and WA while Obama wins both v. McCain. That's one factor.

The traditional, Catholic, white working class voter that has been such a strong demographic for her is not a major factor in OR

The Hispanic portion of the vote is not nearly what it is in the Southwest and SoCal

Oregon is not an heavily older population state like FL, OH and PA

On the other side:
There is no AA vote to speak of. And there is a strong feminist tradition in liberal centers like Portland and Eugene.

It's a long way off and the national dynamics may change dramatically but I'm looking at 55-60% Obama in this one.